If it is hard to determine what stocks are worth, this WSJ article
talks about the even harder problems of valuing securities where there
is no market (i.e. no bids).
http://online.wsj.com/article/heard_on_the_street.html

--------------------------------snip
The oft-repeated problem is that the funds, and even some companies,
can't get prices for many debt securities and derivatives with direct
or indirect links to loans made to homeowners with spotty credit
histories. Given that, they ask, how are they supposed to mark
holdings to market when there is no market?
....................

One answer is that everything has a price -- if it is low enough. That
is tough for many managers to swallow if they think the long-term
value of a holding isn't impaired. Trading at such a price is also a
difficult prospect if a manager wants to avoid selling into a
distressed market. The key point with BNP, for example, was the use of
the word "fairly."

But if there are no buyers to be found, there may be an even worse
alternative. "Then the price is zero," says Jack Ciesielski, editor of
the Analyst's Accounting Observer newsletter. "If there's a bid out
there, then there's a price. Take your pick."

Marking holdings to zero would be an extreme move. BNP's Mr. Papiasse
says the problem was that there simply was no market or price for the
assets.
...........................

That logic is rarely cited when markets are soaring. Fund managers
didn't complain that they were marking the value of their assets too
high, Mr. Ciesielski, the newsletter editor, says.


-raghu.

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