You cannot just use short term price information to understand a long term 
problem!

Please, this does not contribute to the flow of ideas.  Maybe we are facing a
problem of peak thought.


On Wed, Sep 12, 2007 at 02:43:33PM -0700, The Buffalo In Da' Midst wrote:
> On 9/12/07, Michael Perelman <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> > Leigh, you may be correct, but the information you are providing does not 
> > really show
> > much.  When oil fell to $20 dollar a barrel some time ago, what did that 
> > prove?
> >
> > If this is the way the debate will proceed, I was wrong to give it a 
> > reprive.
> >
>
> This is the money quote... for some reason oil prices AREN'T going
> down as expected from a previous OPEC action. Why not? That is where I
> would hope the discussion would lead.
>
>
> > > .
> > > ...It had been expected that Opec's (Previous!) move would eventually 
> > > depress
> > > prices and that this could help ease recent US economic and global
> > > stock market jitters.
> > > [...]
> > >
> > > <http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/6991567.stm>
> > >
> >
>
> So Opec tries again.
>
> Is there historic precedence for this?
> I know that the Saudis can only truly control production by brute
> force (capacity cleansing), threats and intimidation. Venezuela's
> bucked them before.
>
> Maybe no one is interested in what is current, and all that will
> become of this thread are people critiquing the present because the
> market's behavior isn't apparent from the past.
>
> But then, isn't economics a 'lagging' science?
>
> Peak oil, or whatever you want to call it can't be discussed by past
> behavior because there ISN'T any.

--
Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
Chico, CA 95929

Tel. 530-898-5321
E-Mail michael at ecst.csuchico.edu
michaelperelman.wordpress.com

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