it's not the dark side.  It's agreeing with Henwood's reason. Instead
of trying to predict th unknown (unknowable), I try to think in terms
of alternative scenarios.

BTW, the actual quote ftom THE ECONOMIST is "The secret of successful
forecasting is to give a number or a date, but never both."
Jim

On 2/18/08, Eugene Coyle <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> Jim, everyone can predict the future.
>
>         Monetary policy is based on predicting the future.  The stock market
> is based on predicting the future.  I predict the future when I buy my
> lottery ticket.
>
> But my comment reflected my concern that you were going over to
> Henwood's dark side.
>
> Gene
>
>
> On Feb 18, 2008, at 6:48 AM, Jim Devine wrote:
>
> > no-one can predict the future.
> >
> > On Feb 17, 2008 5:22 PM, Eugene Coyle <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> >> "If a recession is happening, " ....    ???
> >>
> >> If?  If?
> >>
> >> Gene Coyle
> >>
> >
> >
> > --
> > Jim Devine / "Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti." (Go your own
> > way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.
>


--
Jim Devine / "Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti." (Go your own
way and let people talk.) --  Karl, paraphrasing Dante.

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