TSR NIFTY UPDATES- Week beginning 29.12.08-Visit www.Niftyviews.com
..Happy new Year.
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Dear Friends,

I had mentioned a weekly resistance level at 3113 in our last week
Nifty update. It was clearly mentioned that unless 3113 is crossed
Bears have a wild card entry due to settlement. We can attribute two
reasons for the down move. One being the Settlement hangover and the
other Indo-Pak tension. I believe the latter played a major role in
bringing the markets down. The last trading week of the year ended in
a bear mode with Nifty falling 7.18% in the entire week.
The markets do react to the political cues sooner or later. We might
see a sluggish opening due to the Israel strike on Gaza strip over the
weekend. One needs to watch how crude reacts after an Initial flare up
on the above-mentioned issue. I will be personally surprised if Crude
sees an immediate recovery on the Upside. I have reasons for the
inference from my own observation. Here is an article on Bloomberg on
8th of December titled," Contango Pays Most in Decade as Shell Stores
Crude." There is a 34% premium to crude oil prices of next December in
the Nymex contracts. After paying for storage costs approximately 11%
can be the safe return of Investment. If the premium holds in coming
months we wont see a sustainable upward rally in crude oil in coming
quarters.
Fundamentally I like Peter Lynch more then Warren Buffet. Its true the
latter has been much more successful in his investment ideas compared
to the former. I would like to share one practical observation that I
have recently noted. One of The daily national newspaper has seen a
recent price hike of approximately 25% in MRP. The company is unlisted
and is part of India's largest news media group. One more major south
based financial daily has reduced the number of pages in its business
daily. I believe the number of advertisements has drastically reduced
in the newspapers. One can come to the same conclusion after seeing a
number of blank billboards throughout most of the cities in India.
Truly the advertisers are having a tough time. Next quarter should be
really tough for media companies.
Coming to the Nifty if one joins the trend line of October lows with
those of November and December we get a support level of 2790 in Nifty
futs. If on Monday Nifty manages to close above 2860 we can retest the
resistance level of 3000 in nifty. At the same time down move will
accelerate below 2790 odd levels in Nifty. One should note that the
put writing is visible in 2800 strike and call writing at 3100 odd
levels. One can contact us for EOD DATA of cash and future scrip of
nse.Kindly email cont...@niftyviews.com for the same

Nifty support-2790,2695

Nifty resistance-2998,3081

WEEKLY CALL UPDATES :

BUY CALL ON ABB WAS TOLD TO EXIT AT FIVE RS BELOW COSTS.

BUY CALL ON CINEMAX OPENED NEAR 1ST TARGET SO CALL WAS INACTIVE AS
SUCH.

FUTS SHORT CALL ON CESC ACHIEVES BOTH TARGETS..GIVES PROFITS OF Rs.
10450 PER LOT

FUTS SHORT CALL ON HDIL ACHIEVES BOTH TARGETS..GIVES PROFITS OF Rs.
7740 PER LOT

CLIENTS ARE REQUESTED TO BOOK 50-60% PROFITS AT 1ST TARGET


WEEKLY CALLS :


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VINAYAK
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