Dear all,

A reminder that Dr Robert Northcott (Birkbeck) will be talking at Serious 
Metaphysics tomorrow, at 12pm in the Philosophy Faculty Board Room. The 
talk is on 'Pre-emption and Causation' (abstract below) and it will last 
one hour: 30 minutes for presentation, followed by another 30 for 
discussion. We'll go for an informal lunch afterwards - everyone is 
welcome.

Best,
Emily 

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'Pre-emption and Causation' 

Pre-emption cases are the most famous 
difficulty for the counterfactual theory of causation. Responses have 
included various refinements of the counterfactual theory, simple rejection 
of that theory, or recourse to pluralism. I'll propose a different 
response, namely defending a very simple version of the counterfactual 
theory via an explicit appeal to psychology. To this end, I present new 
pre-emption cases in which our causal judgment has been empirically shown 
to be the reverse of that in standard cases. I explain why this situation 
tells against every current theory. I then argue that such 
judgment-reversals do indirectly offer one way out - but it is a way out 
available to the counterfactual theory alone. If this analysis is correct, 
the true theoretical implications of pre-emption cases are then quite the 
opposite of what is usually thought - for they end up telling in <favour> 
of the counterfactual theory of causation, not against it.


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