Dear all, 

A reminder of tomorrow's talk:

On Thursday 30 May at 2pm Prof. Hykel Hosni (LSE / Scuola Normale Superiore
di Pisa), who will be visiting the Faculty of Philosophy that week, will
give a talk entitled: ON THE LOGICAL STRUCTURE OF DE FINETTI'S NOTION OF
EVENT


***
ABSTRACT:

The investigation reported in this talk aims at clarifying an important yet
subtle distinction between (i) the logical objects on which measure
theoretic probability can be defined, and (ii) the interpretation of the
resulting values as rational degrees of belief.Our central result can be
stated informally as follows. Whilst all subjective degrees of belief can
be expressed in terms of a probability measure, the converse doesn't hold:
probability measures can be defined over linguistic objects which do not
admit of a meaningful interpretation as rational degrees of belief. The
logical framework capable of expressing this will allow us to put forward a
precise formalisation of de Finetti's notion of event which lies at the
heart of the Bayesian approach to uncertain reasoning. This, in turn, will
provide grounds for more general considerations on the relation between
(subjective) probability and logic. (Based on joint work with Tommaso
Flaminio and Lluis Godo). 
***

The talk with questions etc. will be 2-330pm in the PHILOSOPHY FACULTY
BOARD ROOM and everyone is welcome.

Arif Ahmed

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