Of interest to those interested in rational decision etc.

Best, Jeremy B

------
Jeremy Butterfield:
Trinity College, Cambridge CB2 1TQ: Tel: 07557-668413 (mobile)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jeremy_Butterfield
Visit the journal, Studies in the History and Philosophy of Modern Physics
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/13552198
---------- Forwarded message ----------
Date: Tue, 14 Feb 2017 10:13:34 +0000
From: Marta Halina <[email protected]>
To: [email protected], [email protected],
     [email protected], phd students <[email protected]>
Subject: HPS Departmental Seminar: Marion Vorms

Marion Vorms (Birkbeck, University of London)

will speak at the History and Philosophy of Science Departmental Seminar

Thursday, 16 February at 3:30pm

On reasonable doubt

Jurors in criminal trials are instructed to bring a verdict of 'guilty' if and 
only if they estimate that guilt has been proven beyond a reasonable doubt 
(BARD). This standard of proof raises intriguing epistemological and 
psychological issues, in addition to judicial ones. In this talk, I will take 
the juror's situation as a model for everyday reasoner and decision-maker, and 
try to extend the notion of reasonable doubt as a norm of reasoning and 
decision-making under uncertainty more generally. One important, and hard 
question, is how to draw a clear boundary between reasonable, and unreasonable 
doubts. After proposing a basic decision-theoretic account of 'reasonable 
doubt', I will challenge it on several grounds, which will lead me to clarify 
the picture of belief states and dynamics we need in order to account for this 
notion.

Tea and biscuits will be available from 3pm in Seminar Room 1

Seminar Location:
Seminar Room 2
Department of the History and Philosophy of Science
Free School Lane
Cambridge
CB2 3RH

Following the talk we will go to the pub, and on to dinner. All are welcome! If 
you would like to join dinner, please contact Jacob Stegenga ([email protected]).



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