CIPH Announcement





ALL WELCOME

The Applied Social Science Group 
<http://www.phpc.cam.ac.uk/pcu/research/research-groups/applied-social-science-group/>
 at the Primary Care Unit invites you to our Annual Symposium 2017

‘Lies, Damn'd lies and statistics:
why it is (almost) impossible to communicate risk ethically’

Dr Stephen John
University Lecturer in the Philosophy of Public Health
Department of History and Philosophy of Science
University of Cambridge

with responses from
Dr Alexandra Freeman
Executive Director, Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication

and
Dr Juliet Usher-Smith, Clinical Senior Research Associate,
Primary Care Unit, University of Cambridge

Chair: Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter
Winton Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk,
University of Cambridge

Tuesday 16th May 2017, 14:00-15:30
Large Seminar Room, Institute of Public Health, Forvie Site
Robinson Way, Cambridge CB2 0SR (MAP 
<https://www.google.co.uk/maps?f=q&hl=en&geocode&q=Cb2+0sr&ie=UTF8&z=15>)

Abstract

Any claim about an individual’s risk of harm is always made relative to some 
reference class (or body-of-information): there is no such thing as an 
individual’s “actual” risk of lung cancer, but, rather, his risk “as a 
smoker” or “as a 40 year old”. This familiar claim in the philosophy of 
statistics gives rise to a simple question: which risk estimate should 
physicians communicate to individuals in the clinic? In this paper, I explain 
why this question is so difficult; I argue that some standard ways of 
addressing it in the medical literature are deeply unethical; and I investigate 
the relationship between my question and the more familiar question of how we 
should present risk information.

This talk is part of the Primary Care series 
<http://talks.cam.ac.uk/show/index/52601>. All welcome. No need to book.
Contact Lucy Lloyd with any queries: [email protected] 
<mailto:[email protected]>

The Primary Care Unit is at the Department of Public Health and Primary Care, 
University of Cambridge
Cambridge Biomedical Campus, Cambridge, CB2 0SR
www.phpc.cam.ac.uk/pcu/ <http://www.phpc.cam.ac.uk/pcu/>
Twitter: ‎@PCU_Cambridge <https://twitter.com/PCU_Cambridge> and @GPEG_Cambridge 
<https://twitter.com/GPEG_Cambridge>
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Cambridge Institute of Public Health
University of Cambridge School of Clinical Medicine,Forvie Site, Cambridge 
Biomedical Campus, Cambridge, CB2 0SR

01223 330300 www.iph.cam.ac.uk <http://www.iph.cam.ac.uk/>
Director, Professor Carol Brayne





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