May be too optimistic but still worth a good read --
http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/techrepublic/10things/~3/539668010/

Sent to you by Silverlokk via Google Reader: 10 reasons why Linux will
triumph over Windows via 10 Things by Jack Wallen on 2/14/09
Windows 7 may be generating some positive buzz, but Jack Wallen remains
skeptical. In fact, he says it’s only a matter of time before Linux
takes its rightful spot at the top of the OS heap.

I have an announcement. The error of Microsoft’s ways is finally
catching up and will cause the once-invincible juggernaut to kneel
before that which is Linux. How is this? Microsoft started a tiny
snowball when it released Windows Me. That snowball did nothing but
gain momentum. There have been ups and downs along the way (XP being an
up, for sure). But for the most part, the court of public opinion has
steady lost faith in what once was considered the heart of personal
computing.

If you don’t believe me, read on.

Note: This article is also available as a PDF download.
1: Inconsistent Windows releases
One of the things you can always count on from Microsoft is that you
can’t count on its new operating systems to be reliable. Let’s take a
look at the individual releases:

- Windows 95: Revolutionized personal computing.
- Windows 98: Attempted to improve on Windows 95; failed miserably.
- Windows Me: A joke, plain and simple.
- Windows NT: Attempted to bring enterprise-level seriousness to the
operating system; would have succeeded had it not taken Steven
Hawking-like intelligence to get it working.
- Windows XP: Brought life back to the failing Windows operating
system. It hadn’t been since Windows 95 that the operating system was
this simple.
- Windows Vista: See Windows Me.
With this in mind, what do we expect from Windows 7? Myself, not much.
2: Consistent Linux releases
Converse to number 1, you have the far more consistent releases of the
various Linux distributions. Yes, there have been a few dips along the
way (Fedora 9 being one of them). But for the most part, the climb for
Linux has been steadily upward. Nearly every Linux distribution has
improved with age. And this improvement isn’t limited to the kernel.
Look at how desktops, end-user software, servers, security, admin
tools, etc., have all improved over time. Once could easily argue that
KDE 4 is an example of a sharp decrease in improvement. However, if you
look at how quickly KDE 4 has improved from 4.0 to 4.3 you can see
nothing but gains. This holds true with applications and systems across
the board with Linux.
3. Continuing Windows price hikes
Recently, I have had a number of long-time Microsoft administrators
asking my advice on solid replacements for Exchange. The reason?
Microsoft changed its licensing for Exchange to a per-user seat. Now
anyone who logs on to an Exchange server must have a license. You have
100 employees (including administrators) who need to log on to
Exchange? Pony up! This gets serious when your company starts having to
cough up the money for 500+ Exchange licenses. The very idea that
Microsoft would make such a bold change to licenses is made even more
ridiculous considering the current state of the economy. Companies
worldwide are having to scale back. And like Exxon Mobile celebrating
record profits amid the catastrophe known as Hurricane Katrina,
Microsoft creating such a cost barrier while the globe is facing
serious recession is irresponsible and reprehensible.
4. Stable Linux “prices”
Converse to number 3, the prices of open source software licenses have
remained the same — $0.00. When those administrators come to me asking
for open source replacements for Exchange I point them to eGroupware
and Open-X-Change. Both are outstanding groupware tools that offer an
even larger feature set than their Microsoft equivalent. Both are
reliable, scalable, secure, and free. The only cost you will have with
either is the hardware they are installed upon. And with both packages,
there is no limit to the amount of users that can be set up. One user,
1,000 users — it’s all good with open source software.
5: Windows hardware incompatibility
Microsoft Vista was a nightmare when it came to hardware compatibility.
Not only was Vista incompatible with numerous peripherals, it took
supercomputer-level iron to run the operating system! Sure this was a
boon to Intel, which stood to make a pretty shiny penny. Intel knew a
good amount of the public would be shelling out for new hardware, and
the new hardware would cost more because it had to be faster to run
Vista in all its Aero glory. But even hardware that would run nearly
any other OS with lightening-fast speed was brought to a slow, grinding
halt with Vista.
6: Linux hardware compatibility
Converse to number 5, Linux continues to advance in the category of
hardware compatibility. Take Xorg, for example. Recent developments
with the star of Linux’ graphical desktops have the X Windows server
running sans xorg.conf. This was done primarily because the system had
grown so good at detecting hardware. And so long as there wasn’t a
cheap KVM between your monitor and your PC, Xorg would easily find the
mode for your display and run X properly. With new distributions (such
as Fedora 10), X configuration is becoming a thing of the past. Most
other pieces of hardware are finding the same level of recognition.
7: Windows promises
I wanted to save this for last, but seeing as how it is number 7… We’ve
all heard the pundits proclaiming Windows 7 will be the resurrection of
the Microsoft operating system. But I recall this same proclamation
with nearly every release from Redmond. Windows Vista was going to
revolutionize the way the user interfaced with the computer. Vista was
going to be the operating system you would never notice. Instead, Vista
refused to NOT let you notice. And Windows Me was going to take Windows
98 and make it far more simple for the average user. What did it really
do? Remove nearly every actual functioning system in the operating
system, leaving little more than a browser and an e-mail client.

Everyone is always fond of saying the next Windows release will
redefine the personal computer. But the public has finally reached such
a point of apathy for Microsoft’s up and coming, the majority doesn’t
even realize something new is coming out. The media can continue to
push Windows 7, but the public will continue using XP until Microsoft
pries it from its cold, dead fingers. And of course no one really knows
when Windows 7 will land. How many dates Microsoft announces vs. how
many dates change will probably be a 1:1 ratio.
8: Linux transparency
Converse to 7… The next release of any Linux distribution is never
shrouded in mystery. Because of the nature of open source, the release
candidates are always available to the public (and not on a limited
basis), and the timeline is always made available. Any user can know
exactly when a feature-freeze happens for a release of any
distribution. And all Linux distributions work under the “full
disclosure” model. Because of this, there is little false advertising
going on with Linux. And unlike with Microsoft, you will never hear of
a distribution claiming that its next release will revolutionize
computing. If you go to the Fedora Project Wiki, you can view all the
proposed and accepted features that will be included in the next
release. You can also view the completed release schedule, where you
will see that Fedora 11 has set an alpha release of 02/03/09, a beta
release of 03/24/09, and a final release of 05/26/09. These dates are
fairly firm and almost always on target.
9: Feature comparison
Let’s compare the feature lists of Windows 7 and Fedora 11.

- Windows 7: OS X-like Doc, Multi-touch screen, mapping application
similar to Google Earth, Hyper-Visor virtualization, location-aware
apps, User Access Control improvements, Sidebar removal.
- Fedora 11: 20-second boot time, btrfs file system, Better C++
support, Cups PolicyKit integration, DNS Security (DNS SECurity), ext4
default file system, Fingerprint reader integration, IBUS input method
replaces SCIM (to overcome limitations), GNOME 2.26, KDE 4.2, Windows
cross-compiler inclusion.
If you look at those features in and of themselves, you could easily
argue that either one could be the more impressive list (depends upon
your bias). But understand that the Fedora 11 features are added on an
already outstanding operating system, whereas the Windows 7 features
are being added to a lesser operating system. And what Microsoft is
proclaiming to be the biggest improvement (multi-touch) doesn’t
actually improve the operating system and also requires, surprise, new
hardware! To get the most out of Fedora 11, you’ll be good to go with
what you already have.
10: Hardware requirements
Vista-lite? Out of the mouths of Microsoft comes the proclamation that
Windows 7 will run on any hardware that would run Vista and even
slightly less powerful hardware. Slightly less powerful? What exactly
does that mean? Well for one, Windows 7 will have no luck in the
netbook market. And since XP is dying, the netbook market will be owned
by Linux. Netbooks are not gaining enough power to run anything from
Windows but the watered-down version of XP. Netbooks are not going
anywhere, and consumers (both home and corporate) have their limits on
how many hardware upgrades they will make to fulfill an operating
systems’ needs. As of Fedora 10, the minimum system requirements look
like something out of the mid ’90s.
Your take
In your opinion, has the court of public opinion already condemned
Microsoft to failure or will Windows 7 pull Microsoft out of the muck
and mire created by Vista? Will Linux continue its climb above
Microsoft?

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