A Linux Nemesis on the Rocks

SCO's lawsuit is floundering -- and now the struggling software company 
faces regulators' scrutiny and questions about its management

Two years ago, a tiny Utah company maneuvered its way into the biggest 
software battle on earth. On one side was mighty Microsoft (MSFT ). 
Challenging the giant was the Linux operating system, built and maintained 
by legions of volunteer programmers around the world -- and supported by 
none other than IBM (IBM ). Standing between them was SCO Group (SCOXE ), 
a struggling software company in Lindon, a small town 30 miles south of 
Salt Lake City.

While short on business, SCO held some potentially powerful copyrights. 
Partly funded by a hefty Microsoft license payment, SCO leveled a 
multibillion-dollar suit against IBM, charging that Big Blue had fed 
SCO-copyrighted software into Linux. This triggered fear and loathing in 
the fast-growing Linux community. A court win for SCO, Linux fans feared, 
could bring its growth to a grinding halt. And so, SCO became one of the 
most vilified companies in the technology industry.

MISSED DEADLINE.  Well, the mouse that roared is barely squeaking these 
days. A string of recent setbacks raises grave questions about SCO's 
finances, its court case, and its management. In December, Canopy Group, 
SCO's biggest investor, fired two of its top executives -- who are also 
the chairman of SCO's board and a SCO director. Later, in a lawsuit, it 
accused them of overpaying themselves by at least $20 million as Canopy 
execs -- charges they have denied.

And on Feb. 9, U.S. District Court Judge Dale A. Kimball scolded SCO for 
failing to produce any evidence proving IBM infringed its copyrights. A 
week later, Nasdaq warned SCO that it could be delisted for failing to 
file its annual financial statement.

SCO says it missed the filing deadline over issues relating to the 
accounting of its common stock and equity compensation plan. As a result 
of adjustments to its accounting, SCO will be restating its earnings for 
the first three quarters of 2004, BusinessWeek has learned. While the 
restatements won't change its net loss or cash balance for that year, they 
are likely to reduce its cash position by $500,000 or more in fiscal year 
2005, says an insider.

SOME STAYING POWER.  What once looked like a mortal threat to Linux 
appears to be fading. As a result, the suit has become a nonfactor in 
corporate buying decisions. "I can't imagine how this will go anywhere," 
says Alex Dietz, chief information officer at Acxiom, a Little Rock 
consumer-data-analysis company that uses Linux.

Microsoft, which helped finance the SCO lawsuit by paying $13 million to 
SCO for a Unix license, claims that Linux, which is available free of 
charge, costs more to maintain than its own Windows operating system. That 
tactic doesn't seem to be working, either: In 2004, Linux server computer 
sales grew 51%, to $4.9 billion, according to Gartner. Microsoft would not 
comment on SCO but has said in the past that it bought a SCO license to 
make sure Unix worked with Windows -- and not as a way of financing SCO's 
suit.

Weak as it is, SCO has some staying power. Late last year the company 
recrafted an agreement to cap its legal fees with its outside law firm, 
Boies, Schiller & Flexner, ensuring that the lawyers will continue to 
press the case without draining SCO's reserves. The agreement should leave 
the company with about $7 million in the bank for fiscal year 2005.

LITTLE EVIDENCE.  Indeed, SCO Chief Executive Darl C. McBride remains 
optimistic. "It's a crazy environment we live in," says McBride, "but 
we're in pretty good shape." Thanks to heavy cost-cutting, SCO's core 
Unix-server-software business is generating an operating profit now and 
will continue to do so in 2005, he says. What's more, McBride says the 
release this summer of a major upgrade of one of its Unix products will 
help boost its sales. Still, he admits that SCO's growth prospects hinge 
on its legal efforts. They "will define how we end up in this game," he 
says.

SCO dodged a legal bullet when the U.S. District Judge refused in February 
to grant IBM's request for a summary judgment. But so far, SCO has failed 
to produce evidence for the court, despite numerous claims that it had 
ample proof of IBM misdeeds. In addition, nothing incriminating has shown 
up so far in 900 million lines of software code that IBM has turned over 
to SCO.

"It is astonishing that SCO has not offered any competent evidence to 
create a disputed fact regarding whether IBM has infringed SCO's alleged 
copyrights," wrote Judge Kimball. Thomas C. Carey, a lawyer at Boston law 
firm Bromberg & Sunstein who is not involved in the suit, says SCO's case 
is on the ropes. "The judge gave every indication that he is prepared to 
throw out the case unless SCO comes up with some surprising evidence," he 
says.

SHRINKING CORE.  SCO hopes its case will be saved by further documents 
from IBM. In January, Magistrate Judge Brooke C. Wells ordered the 
computing giant to hand over an additional 1.1 billion lines of code, as 
well as information about revisions to the code and the names of 3,000 
programmers who helped develop versions of AIX and Dynix, two of IBM's 
Unix-based operating systems. It will take SCO several months to review 
this code and depose IBM developers.

Meanwhile, analysts expect the company's core business to keep shrinking. 
For the fiscal year ended Oct. 31, 2004, SCO announced sales of $42.8 
million -- down 46% from the year before. Losses more than tripled, to 
$16.2 million. For fiscal 2005, Decatur Jones Equity Partners expects SCO 
to report an $11 million loss on $38 million in sales.

As a result, SCO has been forced to cut staff. Last year, it laid off 
about 100 employees, a third of its workforce. With each layoff, analysts 
say its ability to produce and sell software is diminished. "This is a 
sinking boat," says Decatur Jones's Dion Cornett, the only analyst on Wall 
Street tracking SCO. McBride says that while his staff is small in 
numbers, it's high on engineering expertise.

CHANGES DOWN THE ROAD?  Adding to SCO's uncertainties are the woes at 
Canopy Group, which owns 31% of its shares. In December, Canopy's board 
fired Chief Executive Ralph J. Yarro III and Chief Financial Officer Darcy 
G. Mott. The two men sued, alleging illegal dismissal. Yarro and Mott 
claim their compensation was approved by Canopy's board. McBride says they 
will remain on SCO's board pending the outcome of the dispute.

Canopy lawyers say they are not trying to remove Yarro and Mott from the 
SCO board at this time, but some analysts say the feud could lead to 
changes in SCO's management or strategy down the road. If new directors 
are appointed at Canopy's request, they might pressure SCO "to sell assets 
or force a settlement," says analyst Rob Enderle of market researcher 
Enderle Group.

SCO's prospects could become clearer in a few weeks. On Mar. 8 a judge 
will begin a hearing that could help clarify who controls Canopy. On Mar. 
17, SCO is set to defend itself against delisting in a hearing before 
Nasdaq. Then on Mar. 18, IBM is supposed to turn over the new code and 
other material. The judge has said he will allow IBM to file another 
motion to dismiss the case after this next phase of discovery is 
completed.

If SCO survives the next round, the court case will probably drag on. It 
was once scheduled to go to trial in early 2005. That was later shifted to 
November. But now it will be pushed back into 2006. This case may be long 
forgotten when, and if, it ever goes to trial. 

-- 
Mankind will in time discover that unbridled majorities are as tyrannical
and cruel as unlimited despots
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Petition Against Software Patents -- http://www.petitiononline.com/openm01
--[Manny [EMAIL PROTECTED]
      Member: Philippine League for Democratic Telecommunications
                      "Affordable Access for All"
--[Open Minds Philippines]--------------------[openminds.linux.org.ph]--

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