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Update on East Timor, 21 Jun 2006 =20

******** Please circulate ********************

Prime Minister Alkatiri makes President Gusmao think twice

Today began looking very bad. The news was that on Tuesday June 20,=20
the President sent an envelope to the Prime Minister containing a=20
video tape of the June 19 4 Corners program from ABC TV in=20
Australia, and a letter requiring him to resign by 5pm or he would=20
be sacked. This amounts to a threat to breach of the Constitution.=20
The 4 Corners program alleges that Fretilin created hit squads on=20
the orders of Mari Alkatiri the Prime Minister and party general=20
secretary.

Perhaps fortunately, the Prime Minister did not open the envelope=20
until later that night, well after 5pm. However, the President had=20
taken no action at the deadline.

A meeting of the Council of State was convened at about 10.30 am on=20
June 21 - it is a 15 person advisory council for the President and=20
makes no decision. At the meeting, the President repeated his=20
request for the Prime Minister to resign. The Prime Minister=20
declined the request.

The President then said that if the Prime Minister would not resign,=20
then he would resign.  But the Prime Minister told him not to do that=20
by any means, and that he would resign first. The Foreign Minister=20
proposed that Alkatiri hand over to two Vice Prime Ministers.

The Prime Minister told that they had to realise that if he resigned=20
under these circumstances that his whole government would resign,=20
and the FRETILIN members would be antagonised, the Budget may not=20
pass through the Parliament and the Electoral Law will be delayed,=20
and all in all this would not be good for the country or make things=20
any better.  That prospect surprised both the President and the Foreign
Minister.

The Prime Minister said that it was not up to him alone to decide=20
whether to resign, and he had to consult with FRETILIN and with the=20
Cabinet (Council of Ministers).

The meeting ended with the Prime Minister undertaking to inform the=20
President of the decision after these consultations. The FRETILIN=20
National Political Commission will meet on June 22 in the morning,=20
and in the afternoon the Prime Minister and the President of the=20
Parliament will inform the President of their views of the NPC. On=20
Friday morning the Cabinet will meet. On Saturday the FRETILIN=20
Central Committee will meet. So perhaps on Sunday or Monday there=20
will be an announcement of the outcome of this process.

However, the psychology of the day went against the President. He=20
has demanded the resignation of the Prime Minister two days in a row=20
and he has not received it. Neither the President nor Foreign=20
Minister were talking to the media or the Australian Embassy after=20
the Council of State meeting today.

The Australian military has been more and more aggressive in telling=20
people that Alkatiri is the 'ex-Prime Minister' or demanding that=20
people tell them who they support. They raised the Australian Flag=20
at the Non-Formal Education building at Vilaverde today, after=20
stopping the Timorese flag from being raised. This compound is being=20
used by the Education Ministry, and also used as a dormitory for=20
some Australian soldiers.

On June 9 two Australian helicopters flew to Lospalos at the eastern=20
end of the island to tell people there to support the President and=20
oppose the Prime Minister. They were surprised by a very angry=20
reaction and had to make a hasty departure.

The resigned Interior Minister Rogerio Lobato has been questioned by=20
the police about the secret death squad allegations, but has not=20
been arrested. He is at his home and has visited other homes in the=20
area today, but he has Australian soldiers at his house. The=20
Prosecutor-General said on TV on the night news on Juen 21 that=20
there was an arrest warrant for Lobato but it had not been=20
implemented.

At about 6pm on June 21, some people tried to burn down the=20
Prosecutor-General's home, but the fire brigade put out the fire in=20
time. There was a threat to burn his house on June 20. There is=20
anger at him for not arresting the Prime Minister and not arresting=20
Lobato. There were many homes burnt in Dili again this evening.

As far as I can tell from FRETILIN people, there is very strong=20
support for Mari Alkatiri, and there is a determination to resolve=20
the current tension with the President in a way which will uphold=20
the Constitution, respect the position of FRETILIN, help to end the=20
sustained period of crisis in the country, and really enable the=20
2007 elections to take place.

The danger is that the forces that want to change the government=20
will not give up, especially now that they have pushed the President=20
to the very brink of breaking the Constitution.

Peter Murphy, Dili, East Timor, June 21, 2006


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