So, I have a program that tells me the probability that given a specific
number of opponents the likelyhood somebody has what category of cards.

This really isn't the whole story:

If calculate the probability of being bet by at least of my opponents
and there are 8 opponents, the odds are worse than if I only have 2
opponents.

What isn't taken into account is that by the time I have 2 opponents, 6
opponents have folded.

This should leave two opponents that have strong hands.  Doing the
statistics based on the average opponent has an average hand does not
take into account that opponents with weak hands have folded.

I am at a loss on this one.

Seems there should be a weihting function that accounts for increased
average strenth of hands as weaker oppoents fold.

Suggestions?

Thanks

Have a good day.

On Sun, 2010-04-04 at 23:49 -0500, Elmer Fittery wrote:
> Like fish, but different.
> 
> fish -o 3 -n 7 -d as -d ac 2d 4c 8s 9d th
> 
> Means, do the calculations based on 3 opponents ( the -o option)
> in a 7 card game ( I am doing texas holdem )
> with the ace of spades and ace of clubs as my hold cards.
> with 2d 4c 8s 9d th on the board
> 
> This results in:
> 
> 990 boards containing 8s 4c 9d 2d Th  with As Ac removed 
> P(NoPair  |3) : 72%
> P(OnePair |3) : 87%
> P(TwoPair |3) : 25%
> P(Trips   |3) : 4.5%
> P(Straight|3) : 14%
> P(Flush   |3) : 0%
> P(FlHouse |3) : 0%
> P(Quads   |3) : 0%
> P(StFlush |3) : 0%
> 
> the probability that one of the your three opponents has
>  
> NoPair is 72%
> One pair is 87%
> TwoPair  is 25%
> Trips    is 4.5%
> Straight is 14%
> Flush    is 0%
> FlHouse  is 0%
> Quads    is 0%
> StFlush  is 0%
> 
> Attached to this email is the c code and the Makefile.
> 
> I had to modify the fish portion of the Makefile to use -lm or the math
> library because I use the math function pow.
> 
> I would like to ask a few questions about enhancements to the program,
> but that will be done in another email.



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