"If Flynn is Trump's national security advisor or secretary of defense we
can expect him to push for a closer relationship with the Russians; a
punitive policy on Iran -- and a more aggressive war on Islamist militants
around the world."


http://www.cnn.com/2016/11/11/opinions/trumps-national-secur
ity-guru-general-flynn-bergen/index.html

Trump's national security guru

[image: Description: Description:
mailbox://C:/Users/Bruce/AppData/Roaming/Thunderbird/Profiles/3t97kvn3.default/Mail/pop.erols.com/Inbox?number=728737371&part=1.2.2&filename=160724130205-michael-flynn-rnc-exlarge-169.jpg]

*(CNN)*They are an unlikely pair.

One is the son of a multimillionaire real estate developer from New York
City who avoided service in Vietnam and whose experience and knowledge of
the military and the national security realm are close to zero.

The other is a retired three-star general -- one of nine children who grew
up in a small house in Middletown, Rhode Island. He went on to run
intelligence for the US Joint Special Operations Command, which includes
SEAL Team 6 and Delta Force. Later he commanded the Defense Intelligence
Agency, the US military's overall intelligence organization.

But riding on a wave of ultranationalistic rhetoric, Donald Trump and his
top adviser on national security, retired US Army Lt. Gen. Michael Flynn,
have now catapulted from political outsiders to the White House.

On Friday, Trump appointed Flynn
<http://www.cnn.com/2016/11/11/politics/pence-will-lead-trump-transition/index.html>
as one of five vice chairs of his transition team. NBC reports
<http://www.nbcnews.com/storyline/2016-election-day/gingrich-giuliani-priebus-eyed-top-jobs-trump-white-house-sources-n678881>
that Flynn is being considered as either Trump's national security advisor
or secretary of defense. The latter position would require a waiver to
allow a former military officer to assume a Cabinet position.

[image: Description: Description: Trump: Generals will have 30 days for
ISIS plan]

*Trump: Generals will have 30 days for ISIS plan* 04:04

Understandably, a request for a comment from Flynn about what his future
role in the Trump presidency might be did not yield a response.

Flynn's advice to the President-elect is all the more important because he
is the only person on Trump's team with any significant experience in
America's post-9/11 wars that continue to grind on in Afghanistan, Iraq,
Libya, Pakistan, Somalia, Syria and Yemen.



*Insiders spurned Trump*



Compounding Flynn's importance to the Trump national security team, more
than 100 top Republican national security insiders earlier this year publicly
signe
<http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/08/08/us/politics/national-security-letter-trump.html>d
two separate letters
<http://warontherocks.com/2016/03/open-letter-on-donald-trump-from-gop-national-security-leaders/>
that warned that Trump would be "the most reckless president in American
history" and charging that he lacked "the character, values, and experience
to be president."

[image: Description: Description: US general counters Trump claims]

US general counters Trump claims 02:41

The Republican insiders who took a public stand against Trump included Gen.
Michael Hayden, the CIA director under President George W. Bush; Fran
Townsend, Bush's top counterterrorism advisor, Michael Chertoff, Bush's
secretary of homeland security and Meghan O'Sullivan, Bush's top Iraq
adviser.

Since Trump is not quick to forgive the merest of slights it's hard to
imagine him calling on any of the officials who have publicly taken a stand
against him to serve in key national security slots.

To be sure, earlier this year, Trump did receive the endorsement
<https://assets.donaldjtrump.com/MILITARY_LEADERS_LETTER.pdf> of 88 retired
general and admirals.

But according to CNN military analyst, retired Lt. Gen. Mark Hertling,
<http://www.cnn.com/2016/09/07/politics/mark-hertling-trump-30-day-isis-plan/>who
was one of the top American generals in Iraq from 2007 to 2008, the flag
officers who signed the letter of support for Trump were largely those
without any experience of the war against al Qaeda and its allies.

"I didn't recognize many of those names as being there in the fight with me
over the last 16 years," Hertling told CNN when the flag officers endorsed
Trump in September.

Which bring us back to Flynn, who not only is an enthusiastic public
booster of Trump, but also has serious credentials in the fight against al
Qaeda in Iraq -- the parent organization of ISIS -- because he ran the
intelligence operations that helped put al Qaeda on the run in that country
in 2007.

[image: Description: Description: Potential Trump VP: I will vote for him
no matter what]

Potential Trump VP: I will vote for him no matter what 00:58

Half a decade later, Flynn was the general in charge of the Defense
Intelligence Agency (DIA). When Flynn was the DIA director he warned of the
rise of what would become ISIS.

Flynn debuted on the public stage
<http://www.latimes.com/nation/politics/trailguide/la-na-republican-convention-2016-live-passed-over-as-vice-presidential-pick-1468897531-htmlstory.html>
when he made a fiery speech of support for Trump at the Republican
convention in July charging that President Obama and Hillary Clinton had
betrayed the ideals of their country and even led the crowd in chants of
"Lock her up!"

Generals who had served with Flynn were puzzled at this performance, which
went against their code to not take such clearly partisan positions, even
in retirement. So too had retired Gen. John Allen, who gave his own
stem-winding speech in support of Hillary Clinton at the Democratic
convention.

The former Chairman of the Joint Chiefs, Martin Dempsey, went public with
his critique of Flynn and Allen in a letter t
<https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/military-leaders-do-not-belong-at-political-conventions/2016/07/30/0e06fc16-568b-11e6-b652-315ae5d4d4dd_story.html>o
the Washington Post in July.

[image: Description: Description: Lt. General: Trump foreign policy all
about &quot;winning&quot;]

Lt. General: Trump foreign policy all about "winning" 04:10

A registered Democrat, Flynn became a vocal critic of the Obama
administration after he was forced out of his DIA post in 2014.
<https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/head-of-pentagon-intelligence-agency-forced-out-officials-say/2014/04/30/ec15a366-d09d-11e3-9e25-188ebe1fa93b_story.html>
Flynn had pushed for more DIA personnel to serve in the war zones rather
than at DIA headquarters in Washington. This was an excellent idea but it
ruffled bureaucratic feathers at DIA, which may have played a part in being
Flynn ousted.

In his book Flynn says his removal came because he testified in 2014 before
a congressional committee that the jihadist terrorist threat was growing,
not declining, as was the official Obama administration line at the time.
Flynn, of course, was right about the growing threat.



*Flynn's worldview*



Given the key role that Flynn has already played for Trump and the role
going forward that he will likely play during the Trump presidency, what
are his views on national security and foreign policy in general?

Trump himself has not laid out a clear agenda on the national security
issues that are the most pressing for the United States, from the
resurgence of the Taliban in Afghanistan; to the deepening Syrian civil
war; to the fight against ISIS in Iran and Syria and the flexing of Russian
muscles under President Vladimir Putin.

Luckily, there are some answers to Flynn's views in a book he published in
July, "Field of Fight: How We Can Win the War Against Radical Islam".

Flynn claims that the United States is in a "world war" with radical Islam,
a war that "we're losing" that could last 'several generations." He also
asserts that "political correctness forbids us to denounce radical
Islamists."

American Islamists, Flynn claims, are trying to create "an Islamic state
right here at home" by pushing to "gain legal standing for Sharia." Flynn
cited no evidence for this claim.

In particular, Flynn portrays Iran as the source of many of America's
national security problems. Flynn co-wrote his book with Michael Ledeen, a
neoconservative academic who has long been a bitter critic of the Iranian
regime.

Flynn advocates the American overthrow of regimes that are "Islamic
republics" which could include not only Iran, but also American allies such
as the Islamic Republic of Afghanistan and the Islamic Republic of Pakistan.

Flynn's views, in short, align closely with Trump's and in some cases are
more extreme, since not even Trump is advocating regime change in Iran,
Afghanistan and Pakistan.

[image: Description: Description: Trump: &#39;Inarguable&#39; that Putin is
stronger leader]

Trump: 'Inarguable' that Putin is stronger leader 01:52

Flynn advocates going after the "violent Islamists wherever they are,"
which doesn't sound much different than what the Obama administration is
already doing, given that it is conducting various forms of warfare in
seven Muslim countries.

The campaign against ISIS has resulted in the deaths of scores of ISIS
leaders
<http://cnn.demo.robotrailer.com/2016/08/11/opinions/obama-isis-opinion-bergen/index.html>
in Iraq and Syria and 45,000 ISIS fighters, according to US military
officials.

Meanwhile, the Iraqi army backed by US airstrikes is fighting in the
streets of Mosul, the second largest city in Iraq, where ISIS declared its
so-called caliphate two years ago.

Flynn, like Trump, sees Russian president Vladimir Putin as someone the US
can do business with. In December, Flynn attended a banquet in Moscow where
he sat next to Putin
<https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/checkpoint/wp/2016/08/15/trump-adviser-michael-t-flynn-on-his-dinner-with-putin-and-why-russia-today-is-just-like-cnn/>.
He also has appeared on the Kremlin TV mouthpiece, Russia Today (which
Flynn has compared to CNN).

If Flynn is Trump's national security advisor or secretary of defense we
can expect him to push for a closer relationship with the Russians; a
punitive policy on Iran -- and a more aggressive war on Islamist militants
around the world. These views mesh well with what we have heard from Donald
Trump on the campaign trail.

Such new policies, however, come with real risks: Warmer relations with the
Russians might encourage Putin's adventurism in Eastern Europe; getting
tough with the Iranians might derail the deal that prevents Iran from
developing nuclear weapons -- and widening the war against Islamist
militants could be expensive in blood and treasure.




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