http://www.thejakartapost.com/detaileditorial.asp?fileid=20050420.E02&irec=1

>From Aceh to Helsinki: A message for Jakarta 
Aboeprijadi Santoso, Helsinki

The third round of the Helsinki negotiations between the Indonesian government 
and the Free Aceh Movement (GAM) to find "a comprehensive and permanent 
solution with dignity for all" was just concluded with new hope for a peaceful 
breakthrough. So, what do we make of this newfound hope?

"It's a breakthrough in a certain sense," Martti Ahtisaari, Finland's former 
president who facilitated the talks, declared as the meetings wrapped up. They 
achieved what he called "seven points of understanding". 

Ahtisaari, who leads the peace mediator Crisis Management Initiative (CMI), 
however, warned that, "Security on the ground is very important. In whatever 
country, people want to be treated fairly by the (security forces) and the 
courts. If those two can be relied on, people can go on with their daily lives 
and business," said the man who has been involved in peace negotiations all 
over the world, from Namibia to South Africa to Kosovo and now Aceh. 

Every aspect of the peace prospects in Aceh ultimately depend on the parties 
themselves. Now, despite rhetoric of progress and optimism coming from both 
Jakarta and GAM delegates, most of the "points of understanding" are things 
that need to be worked on to be accomplished before the next round on May 26. 

However, Ahtisaari's integrated package approach ("nothing is agreed until 
everything is agreed") means that the parties can hide whatever basic 
assumptions, agreements and disagreements they have, until they find the right 
concepts and wording for the final agreement. This lack of transparency is an 
obvious sign of the sensitivities involved. Thus, as Ahtisaari himself has 
reminded us, it is important to look at what is being said and also what is not 
being said. Only when the sensitivities become apparent, real progress can be 
measured. 

Progress, coupled with difficulties, seems apparent on, at least, the issues of 
self-government, monitoring and political participation. 

First, as the issues of independence and special autonomy are removed, 
negotiations can now proceed to define what the CMI, in its release, called 
"the self-government of the province of Aceh within the Republic of Indonesia" 
is all about. While GAM seemed cautious, but not in disagreement, Ahtisaari and 
Indonesia's chief-delegate Hamid Awaluddin have made it clear that there will 
be local elections for Aceh according to Indonesian laws and will be monitored 
by a third party. For Indonesia, this is part of her constitutional process and 
for GAM it is seen as a means to measure and promote democratization in Aceh. 

Since the issue of "independence" remains a taboo subject and a "referendum" 
remains a nightmare scenario for Indonesia, "special autonomy" is identical to 
the status quo of "rapes and killings" to GAM leaders. Once all these are 
removed from the table, the results can be considerable. 

Second, both sides have agreed to a monitoring process, even if it may appear 
as if GAM here has gained more on that point. Since the implementation of the 
agreement will be a process that would cover elections and aspects of public 
life, it inevitably includes, if implicit, a cease-fire, which Jakarta has 
rejected. The monitoring will be "a civilian mission (of regional associations) 
and there is no mention of foreign troops". 

The involvement of a "foreign group" means a greater guarantee for the 
implementation of the agreement, although it would also mean that the Aceh 
issue would remain on the international scene, which GAM would welcome. Hamid 
has confirmed that Indonesia agreed and would approach ASEAN groups about 
taking part in the monitoring. 

Third, little seems to have been agreed upon as yet on political participation, 
but as a few legal aspects need to be resolved, an agreement at this point may 
not be far away. Hamid has confirmed that the Pilkada (local-chief elections) 
for conflict areas, including Aceh will be postponed and a source close to GAM 
believes that Hamid's team will do its best to accommodate the need for a local 
party. 

The most thorny issue, however, remains the security arrangement. Various 
delegates recognize that it is all too often difficult to control the violent 
behavior by the Indonesian security apparatuses, just as GAM's units have often 
been involved in violence and kidnapping. Any mediator, as Ahtisaari is, can 
only appeal to both sides' commitments to restrain their armed forces because 
local security remains in the hands of those in charge. 

In short, progress has been made, even if it is not immediately apparent. And 
the stakes are very high. For GAM, a failure in Helsinki would means that they 
have to continue a very costly guerrilla warfare, which would jeopardize 
whatever credibility they have among the Acehnese. On the other hand, a 
Helsinki success will enhance both the space and capacity of the Acehnese to 
develop their own political and economic system, albeit within Indonesia. 

Clearly, both sides want to win the Acehnese hearts and minds. Jakarta will try 
by reconstructing post-tsunami Aceh. GAM has, in effect, forced Jakarta via 
Helsinki to fulfill its promise. As one GAM delegate put it, "All 
(post-Soeharto) presidents, from Habibie to Gus Dur to Megawati said 'you can 
have everything except independence'. Now we want everything except 
independence". 

The challenge for Jakarta is perhaps even bigger. If GAM leader Hasan Di Tiro 
is said to have given blessing to his delegates, it is the turn of President 
Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono to strongly support his team despite public opposition 
at home against the Helsinki process. After all, the pressure is not only from 
the impact of the tsunami, but all of Acehnese civil society, who collectively 
demand change. The military solution is neither a solution nor is it now 
acceptable. The international community now expects changes led by a president 
who symbolizes Indonesia's new democracy. 

Indonesia (under Megawati) unilaterally canceled its peace agreement with GAM 
in 2003 and launched massive military operation. President Susilo realizes that 
the military solution alone could not end the prolonged conflict. Will 
Indonesia, this time, be able to give peace to the people of Aceh? 

The writer is a journalist with Radio Netherlands. 


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