12 - 18 May 2005
      Issue No. 742
      Front Page  
       
      Published in Cairo by AL-AHRAM established in 1875 


        Fighting for turf
        Where is the Muslim Brotherhood/Egyptian government dynamic heading? 
Omayma Abdel-Latif looks into a long-troubled relationship on the brink of a 
major confrontation over reform 

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               Click to view caption 
              The scope and significance of the recent agitation for change 
will probably depend on how three key players -- the state, the Brotherhood and 
the new secular reform movements -- will interact; right: Akef at the press 
conference calling for the release of Brotherhood detainees 
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        The photographs on the walls of the Muslim Brotherhood's Al-Malek 
Al-Saleh Street headquarters, north of Cairo, may help explain the recent 
escalation in the conflict between the Egyptian government and the outlawed 
group. The shots were taken during recent demonstrations organised by the 
Brotherhood in Cairo and other Egyptian governorates, and feature captions such 
as "Freedom is the only path to political reform", and "We want real political 
reform".

        The Brotherhood's supreme guide, Mohamed Mehdi Akef, called the 
demonstrations "symbolic". Others have termed the rallies -- which managed to 
amass thousands of supporters -- a message of defiance. If anything, the fact 
that the group managed to bypass ironfisted security procedures to successfully 
organise three pro-reform demonstrations in less than a week was nothing if not 
unexpected.

        Akef, however, said the government should not have been too surprised. 
He disclosed that the group had approached security officials nearly three 
weeks ago for permission to hold the demonstrations. "We asked them to find a 
place for us to hold our pro-reform rallies and freely express the public's 
demands. They did not respond." Striking out on its own, the group managed to 
hold demonstrations in Cairo and more than 10 other governorates last 
Wednesday. On Friday, the same scenario took place, while on Sunday nearly 
3,000 women took part in a rally in Alexandria to protest against the detention 
of hundreds of Brotherhood members. 

        The surge in the group's street-based activism, however, has come at a 
price, with hundreds of its members and sympathisers rounded up by the police. 
While an Interior Ministry statement put the number of detainees at 200, the 
group claimed that at least 2,000 people were taken into custody. The arrest of 
Essam El-Erian, an outspoken member of the group's Maktab Al-Irshad (guidance 
bureau), was a particular blow. El- Erian's lawyer was quoted by the press as 
saying his client had told interrogators that he would be running for 
president. The news caused an uproar, with Akef saying the group had no 
knowledge of El-Erian's intentions. The charges against El-Erian include being 
a member of an outlawed group that seeks to overthrow the regime. The death of 
group member Tareq Mahdi Ghannam, blamed on a harsh security response to a 
rally in Mansoura, was also a major loss for the Brotherhood.

        The protests and arrests have raised questions about the fate of an 
already troubled relationship with the state. The timing, just as the 
government finds itself under tremendous pressure from civil and political 
forces to move towards real reform, and coinciding with the emergence of a 
nationalist pro-reform movement, has inspired a flurry of questions about where 
the escalation might end up.

        The Brotherhood demonstrations were seen as a radical shift in the 
group's thinking, a clear break from its long-standing tradition (and conscious 
choice) of avoiding direct confrontation with the state during Hosni Mubarak's 
rule. Although that strategy served to protect the group, despite the 
occasionally harsh security strike, it also catalysed a peculiar relationship 
whose core element was mistrust. Today, the regime sees the group as seeking to 
take advantage of an improved democratic climate -- coloured by international 
pressure for reform -- as a means of gaining power. Other detractors take this 
argument further, suggesting that if the Brotherhood did end up coming to 
power, they would change the rules of the game, throwing democracy out the 
window. 

        When such scenarios are put to the group's senior leaders, their 
routine response is that the Brotherhood is not seeking power, just their 
legitimate political rights. Brotherhood sources also speak openly of having "a 
channel for dialogue" with the security apparatus; one of the reasons the group 
decided to go ahead with its protests, Akef said, was a "feeling that security 
officials were showing [greater] understanding of our demands for political 
reform. We thought they were also looking out for Egypt's interests, but when 
we approached them with our request to organise rallies, they simply turned on 
us."

        One Brotherhood source said there are factions within the regime that 
are hostile to the group, who end up manipulating the security apparatus into 
clamping down on all pro-reform activists. "I know for a fact that some parts 
of the regime understand our aspirations, but there are others who are very 
hostile," Akef said.

        The escalation may have reached its peak when Brotherhood sources were 
quoted by independent daily newspaper Al-Masry Al-Youm on Sunday as saying that 
high-ranking security officials had threatened "to squash the group", if it did 
not stop taking its demands to the streets.

        Deputy supreme guide Mohamed Habib and others in the Brotherhood, 
however, do not see a major confrontation on the way. Habib told Al- Ahram 
Weekly on Monday that the group rejects the idea of a confrontation "outright. 
It is not on our agenda, simply because it does not serve my cause. We want to 
express our views in the most civilised and peaceful way possible. Our agenda 
is reformist, not confrontational, but the security response has always been 
hostile."

        There are growing fears, however, that the first victims of the 
escalation will be none other than the nascent reform movement itself. In fact, 
some interpret the Brotherhood's moves as an attempt to hijack the newly 
founded reform movement, and claim the street for itself. Wahid Abdel- Meguid 
of Al-Ahram's Centre for Strategic Studies said the group's actions were a 
reflection of what he described as "a sense of exaggerated power" that drives 
the aloof manner in which the Brotherhood deals with other political forces. 

        Abdel-Meguid's view is echoed by Abdel- Halim Qandeel, a founding 
member of the Egyptian Movement for Change, also known as Kifaya (Enough). 
"They feel they are a very influential group that wants to, and can, run the 
process of change without embracing other political and civil forces," Qandeel 
told the Weekly. 

        He said the Brotherhood, encouraged by Kifaya 's breaking of the street 
demonstration taboo, decided to make themselves more visible as well. At the 
same time, Qandeel dismissed claims that the two groups were fighting over 
turf. "The last thing we want is a fight over who owns the street, or who has 
the ability to mobilise it better. The only thing that matters is that more and 
more people realise that they have a right to protest for their rights."

        In Qandeel's view, a qualitative shift in the relationship between his 
group and the Brotherhood took place during a demonstration at the Press 
Syndicate on Sunday, when the two groups joined ranks to protest against the 
detention of hundreds of Brotherhood members, calling out unifying slogans 
like, "One movement, one hand."

        This unity seemed to take on a life of its own just two days later, on 
Tuesday, when an earlier call by Akef for civil disobedience as a reform 
pressure tactic, re-emerged in a Kifaya statement as a potential next step in 
their continuing protests against the status quo.
     
     

http://weekly.ahram.org.eg/2005/742/eg5.htm


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