Rasanya tak mungkin India menyalib China, itulah yang
saya dengar dari setiap pertemuan atau seminar di
Mumbai.  Tapi tidak demikian menurut Prof. Yasheng
Huang (MIT) dan Tarun Khana (Harvard), dan mereka
punya argumen yang sahih.

Salam,
RM

 
Tuesday, July 05, 2005   
 
India will overtake China'

PTI

Washington:  In the long run, India will overtake
China in economic growth owing to home-grown
entrepreneurship, stronger infrastructure to support
private enterprise and companies which compete
internationally with global firms, a media report has
claimed. 

The report, written by Yasheng Huang, Associate
Professor at the Sloan School of Management at the
Massachusetts Institute of Technology, and Tarun
Khanna, a professor at Harvard Business School, said
India was 'superior' in utilising its resources, thus
contributing to economic performance. 

"The real issue is not where China and India are today
but where they will be tomorrow. The answer will be
determined in large measure by how well both countries
utilize their resources, and on this score, India is
doing a superior job," the duo said in the report
published in FP - a magazine published by the Carnegie
Endowment. 

Differentiating between 'routes' to economic
prosperity, they said that India's home-grown
entrepreneurship gave it an advantage over China,
where growth is largely fuelled by Foreign Direct
Investment (FDI). 

"What is the fastest route to economic development?
Welcome FDI, says China, and most policy experts
agree. But a comparison with long-time laggard India
suggests that FDI is not the only path to prosperity.
Indeed, India's home-grown entrepreneurs may give it a
long-term advantage over a China hamstrung by
inefficient banks and capital markets," they argued. 


They said the ubiquitous "Made in China" label on
everything in a major department store from shoes to
garments to toys and electronics obscured an important
point: few of these products are made by indigenous
Chinese companies. 

"You would be hard-pressed to find a single homegrown
Chinese firm that operates on a global scale and
markets its own products abroad. That is because
China's export-led manufacturing boom is largely a
creation of FDI, which effectively serves as a
substitute for domestic entrepreneurship," they said. 

The duo stressed that India provided a more "nurturing
environment" for domestic business, thus spawning a
number of companies that now compete internationally
with the best that Europe and the us have to offer. 

"Many of these firms are in the most cutting-edge,
knowledge-based industries -- software giants Infosys
and Wipro and pharmaceutical and biotechnology
powerhouses Ranbaxy and Dr. Reddy's Labs, to name just
a few", Khanna and Huang said. 

India has also developed much stronger infrastructure
to support private enterprise. Its capital markets
operate with greater efficiency and transparency than
do China's. Its legal system, while not without
substantial flaws, is considerably more advanced, the
two argued. 

Huang and Khanna also contrasted India's "increasingly
building from the ground up" to China's pursuit of a
"top-down approach" for economic growth, saying it
reflected the political systems of both the countries.
"India is a democracy and China is not." 

"China and India have pursued radically different
development strategies. 

India is not outperforming China overall, but it is
doing better in certain key areas. That success may
enable it to catch up with and perhaps even overtake
China," the two experts felt. 

"It would not only " demonstrate the importance of
homegrown entrepreneurship to long-term economic
development; it will also show the limits of the
FDI-dependent approach China is," the duo said. 

 
  
  
URL:
http://www.financialexpress.com/latest_full_story.php?content_id=95123





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