http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/5224650.stm

     Last Updated: Friday, 28 July 2006, 15:57 GMT 16:57 UK 


                  Arab leaders fear rise of Hezbollah  

                        By Roger Hardy 
                        BBC Middle East analyst  



                         
                        Protesters in the Arab world have shown support for 
Hezbollah 
                  Hezbollah is riding a wave of popularity on the Arab street. 
Not since it played a role in forcing Israel to withdraw from southern Lebanon 
in 2000 has it enjoyed such adulation. 

                  Its leader Sheikh Hassan Nasrallah is enjoying something akin 
to a personality cult. 

                  At a time when Arab governments are seen as largely powerless 
to influence events, Hezbollah is seen as taking on the Israelis - and behind 
the Israelis, the American superpower. 

                  This has put Arab leaders - in particular those allied to the 
United States - in a difficult quandary. 

                  At the start of this crisis the rulers of Saudi Arabia, Egypt 
and Jordan did not hide their view that Hezbollah's capture of two Israeli 
soldiers was "reckless adventurism". 

                  This was unusual enough, but they also openly directed their 
displeasure at the group's backers, Syria and Iran. 

                  Their stance pleased the Bush administration but was roundly 
criticised at home. 

                  They were seen as siding with the Israelis against the new 
champions of the Palestinian cause. 

                  Dark warnings 

                  Now there is a distinct shift. 

                  Washington's Arab friends are pressing urgently for an 
immediate ceasefire. 

                  King Abdullah of Saudi Arabia has warned darkly of the danger 
of a wider regional war. 

                  Saudi television this week organised a day-long appeal - or 
"telethon" - which raised some $29 million (£15.55 million) for Lebanon. 

                         
                        Protestors in the Arab world have shown support for 
Hezbollah 

                  The Saudi media made much of the fact that the king and the 
crown prince made handsome personal donations. 

                  In addition the Saudi state has given $1.5 billion (£800 
million) to support the Lebanese pound and help rebuild the shattered country. 

                  It is not that these rulers have changed their minds. 

                  They fear the growing influence of Iran and Hezbollah. 

                  They believe the regional balance of power is shifting in 
Iran's favour. 

                  They think Iran and Hezbollah are trying to hijack the 
Palestinian cause. 

                  Some Saudi religious figures have gone much further. For them 
the issue is not so much political as sectarian. 

                  One well-known sheikh, Abdullah bin Jabreen, has issued a 
fatwa, or religious ruling, declaring it illegal for Muslims to join, support 
or even pray for Hezbollah. 

                  This reflects the view of conservatives in the Saudi 
religious establishment that the Shia are not proper Muslims and are not to be 
trusted. 

                  Joining the bandwagon 

                  But the critics of Hezbollah find themselves in the minority. 

                        Al-Qaeda does not want to be upstaged 
                       

                  The predominant view in the Middle East and the wider Muslim 
world is overwhelmingly supportive of Hezbollah. 

                  For most people, the Palestinian cause transcends sectarian 
differences. 

                  Even al-Qaeda, no friend of the Shia, has felt obliged to 
speak out. 

                  The group's second-in-command, Ayman al-Zawahiri, has issued 
a video saying no Muslim can stay silent in the face of events in Lebanon. 

                  Al-Qaeda does not want to be upstaged. 



                 
           
     


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