http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/middle-east/fatah-fears-gaza-conflict-has-put-hamas-in-the-ascendancy-1513430.html

Fatah fears Gaza conflict has put Hamas in the ascendancy

Palestinian party created by Yasser Arafat suffers sharp decline in support 

By Patrick Cockburn in Nablus
Friday, 23 January 2009 

The Islamic movement Hamas is taking over from Fatah, the party created by 
Yasser Arafat, as the main Palestinian national organisation as a result of the 
war in Gaza, says a leading Fatah militant. "We have moved into the era of 
Hamas which is now much stronger than it was," said Husam Kadr, a veteran Fatah 
leader in the West Bank city of Nablus, recently released after five-and-a-half 
years in Israeli prisons.


"Its era started when Israel attacked Gaza on 27 December."

The sharp decline in support for Fatah and the discrediting of Mahmoud Abbas, 
President of the Palestinian Authority, because of his inertia during the 
22-day Gaza war, will make it very difficult for the US and the EU to pretend 
that Fatah are the true representatives of the Palestinian community. The 
international community is likely to find it impossible to marginalise Hamas in 
reconstructing Gaza. 

"Hamas has been highly successful in portraying itself as the party of the 
resistance, and Fatah and Mahmoud Abbas as the opponents of resistance at a 
time [when] the public wants to resist," said Ghassan Khatib, a former 
Palestinian minister of planning. He adds that Mr Abbas was badly damaged in 
the eyes of Palestinians when he blamed Hamas for Israel's assault on Gaza in 
the conflict's first two days. 

Mr Kadr, who says he was tortured by Israeli interrogators during detention, 
does not welcome Hamas's triumph. But he is convinced that, just as Fatah's 
long reign was launched by the battle of Karamah in March 1968, when Fatah 
fighters aided by the Jordanian army, repelled an Israeli attack on their HQ in 
the Jordan valley, so Hamas will gain from the Gaza war. "The Hamas era comes 
40 years after Karamah began the Fatah period," he says. 

Hamas is conscious of its political success even if it was able to do little 
against the Israeli army. Mr Khatib, in his office in Ramallah, the Palestinian 
capital on the West Bank, says the first priority must be the formation of a 
Palestinian unity government between Hamas and Fatah. But he adds gloomily that 
"the chances of this happening are slim" because the Gaza war has exacerbated 
hatred between the two sides as Fatah supporters are hunted down and sometimes 
executed in Gaza. 

Aside from Gaza there is another reason why President Abbas and Fatah are weak. 
Long years of negotiations with Israel have achieved nothing while red-roofed 
Israeli settlements have sprouted on every West Bank hilltop. Driving into 
Nablus, a city of 250,000 people that was once the bustling heart of the West 
Bank, the streets are empty and row after row of shops are shut. 

"We had eight years of complete closure when people could not get in or out of 
Nablus aside from the 3 per cent who had permits," complains the city's mayor 
Adly Yaish. "Most factories shut and 60 per cent of people live below the 
poverty line." The closure became a little looser three months ago, but 
yesterday there were long lines of vehicles at the Israeli checkpoints around 
the city.

The rise of Hamas and the demise of Fatah is best explained by the failure of 
President Abbas to achieve anything through negotiations for ordinary 
Palestinians. "We in Fatah have failed to remove a single Israeli checkpoint," 
admits Mr Kadr. "It takes me as long to reach Ramallah 50 kilometres away as it 
would to fly from Jordan to Ankara."

He believes the Gaza war has spread the seeds for another Palestinian uprising. 
"The coming uprising will be very hard for both the Palestinians and the 
Israelis," he warns, though he does not forecast when it will occur. He points 
to a television in his office on which a young Palestinian girl called Dalal is 
shown picking through the ruins of her house in Gaza where all her family had 
died and only her cat had survived. "Can you imagine how Palestinians feel when 
they see this?" he asks.


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