Excerpt: "He (author Paul Kennedy) compares the Great Powers at the close of the twentieth century and predicts the decline of the Soviet Union, the rise of China and Japan, the struggles and potential for the EEC and the relative decline of the United States. He highlights the precedence of the "four modernizations" in Deng Xiaoping<http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deng_Xiaoping>'s plans for China - agriculture, industry, science and military - deemphasizing military while the United States and the Soviet Union are emphasizing it. He predicts that continued deficit spending, especially on military build-up, will be the single most important reason for decline of any Great Power. "
On 10/26/06, Helio W. <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
It looks like it's still a relevant reading: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Rise_and_Fall_of_the_Great_Powers On 10/26/06, Bill Arnold <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > > >From Harper's Magazine, October 2006. By Daniel Ellsberg > > "A hidden crisis is under way. Many government insiders are aware of > serious plans for war with Iran, but Congress and the public remain > largely in the dark. The current situation is very like that of 1964, > the year preceding our overt, open-ended escalation of the Vietnam War, > and 2002, the year leading up to the U.S. invasion of Iraq." > > http://www.harpers.org/TheNextWar.html
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