http://bit.ly/KH7F9

- - -
However, he said a big threat lurked in the country's expanded monetary
base, which now stands at about US$1.8-trillion. While the expanded monetary
base was needed to feed economic growth and ward off deflation under the
Fed's quantitative easing plan, Mr. Ashworth said such high levels could
fuel rampant inflation once broader monetary conditions improved.

He said it remained to be seen how much success the Fed will have when it
decides to end its quantitative-easing plan and shrink the monetary base.
- - -

When I landed in Moscow on student exchange back in September of 1992, a
pack of Marlboro's at an airport kiosk was 310 rubles. When I left almost 12
months later, it was 116,360 rubles, as I recall.

Russians I knew then were unanimous in the view that nobody thought anything
like that even vaguely possible even a year before. That's something like
the scale of what's coming our way. Our day of reckoning may not be that
dramatic, except for the fact our population has no concept of that kind of
hardship, and I think may turn violent in ways we can't imagine with far
less provocation.

What is quantitative easing? Think 'morphine' after you suffer an open wound
that's gushing blood.

Eventually, it wears off. Or you can get addicted to it, in which case your
situation is actually worse, and will take far longer to recover, if it
doesn't kill you.

- Bob


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