http://edition.cnn.com/2013/08/22/opinion/bergen-post-christian-middle-east/index.html?hpt=hp_t5

Editor's note: Peter Bergen is CNN's national security analyst, a director at 
the New America Foundation and the author of "Manhunt: The Ten-Year Search for 
bin Laden -- From 9/11 to Abbottabad." Jennifer Rowland is a program associate 
at the New America Foundation.

(CNN) -- There have been Christians in the Middle East since the time of, well, 
Christ.

Now that two millennium-long history could be in danger.

Islamist thugs have attacked dozens of churches across Egypt in the past few 
days, burning many of them down.


The attacks seemed to be protests against the brutal military government 
crackdown on the Muslim Brotherhood that killed many hundreds of Egyptian 
Islamists over the past week.

Pope Tawadros II, the leader of Egypt's Christian Copts, met publicly with top 
military officers as they announced the coup that removed President Mohamed 
Morsy and his Muslim Brotherhood government from power in early July.

Christians, who make up 10% of the population, and other minorities had 
complained that a new constitution that had been passed by the Morsy government 
infringed on their rights.

For some Islamist militants, now it's payback time. According to one report, 52 
churches across Egypt were attacked in 24 hours last week. The Egyptian 
Initiative for Personal Rights has counted at least 30 churches attacked, along 
with other Christian facilities.

After Morsy was removed from power, a mob armed with axes hacked a Christian 
businessman to death near Luxor in southern Egypt and then continued their 
rampage in the village of Nagaa Hassan, burning dozens of Christian homes and 
killing three other Christians.

Today there are more than 10 million Christians in the Middle East and they 
make up an estimated 5% of the Middle East's population.

A century ago they made up an estimated 20%.

Much of this fall can be attributed to factors such as emigration and the high 
birth rates of many Arab Muslims, but some of it is also attributable to the 
increasing marginalization and targeting of Christians; a worrying trend being 
seen not just in Egypt but also in other Arab countries.

Take Syria. Many Syrian Christians have tacitly supported the regime of 
President Bashar al-Assad, which draws much of its strength from the small Shia 
Alawite sect and therefore has historically favored and protected Syria's other 
religious minorities.

As a result, the jihadists who have come to dominate a significant portion of 
the Syrian rebel movement have supplemented their war against the government 
with attacks that target Christians. On June 27, a suicide bombing in a 
Christian area of Damascus killed at least four people.

Al Qaeda-affiliated rebels are suspected of killing an Italian priest who had 
spent most of his life rehabilitating a monastery north of the Syrian capital 
of Damascus and who disappeared last month. The Rev. Paolo Dall'Oglio had 
reportedly been trying to secure the release of several hostages in the custody 
of an al Qaeda-aligned group.

Meanwhile, in March in Benghazi, Libya, where a militant attack on a U.S. 
government complex left four Americans dead in September 2012, around 60 
Christians were rounded up by extremists and handed over to the government on 
suspicion of immigrating from Egypt illegally. The militants tortured several 
of their captives, killing one of them.

That bout of vigilantism followed the arrest in February of four Christians 
accused of proselytizing to Muslim Libyans.

The consequence of such attacks and harassment has been an exodus of Christians 
from the region.

Residents of northeastern Syria, where Christians have historically been 
concentrated, estimate that one-third of the Christians there have fled the 
country during the past two years.

Similarly in Iraq, since the fall of Saddam Hussein in 2003, the Christian 
Iraqi population may have dropped by as much as 50%, according to a CIA 
assessment.

And despite making up only about 3% of the Iraqi population, Christians 
accounted for half the Iraqis who fled the country in 2010, about 200,000 
people.

Egypt's religious tensions have a longer history than the recent clashes 
between Muslim Brotherhood supporters and Christians. Although then-President 
Hosni Mubarak kept a tight lid on the country's Islamist extremists, clashes 
between Muslims and Christians erupted sporadically throughout the '90s.

But since Mubarak's fall, extremist violence against Christians has picked up 
in Egypt. In early October 2011, Egypt saw its worst instance of sectarian 
violence in 60 years, when two-dozen Christians died in clashes with the 
military.

As a result of these kinds of attacks, by one estimate, around 100,000 
Christians left Egypt in 2011.

This kind of homogenization has happened before in the Middle East, which 
boasted a sizable Jewish population in the '50s. But with the creation of the 
state of Israel and the rise of Arab nationalism and then Islamism, the region 
has become more hostile to non-Muslims.

Around World War II there were 100,000 Jews in Egypt, a community that had 
existed in Egypt since the time of the pharaohs.

Now, there are a handful of synagogues operating in Cairo. They are heavily 
guarded and generally empty as they cater only to the few dozen elderly Jews 
who are still left in Egypt.

One can only hope that this is not to be the fate of the Christians of the 
Middle East.





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