***AS tidak akan sukses tanpa bantuan dari Indonesia.

***Bila SBY sukses membujuk Myanmar dan Korut, AS dan UE makin menjilat 
pantat Indonesia. So, Pak presiden, work smart !

Published: 02/24/2006 12:00 AM (UAE)

America's doomed policy
By Patrick Seale, Special to Gulf News

What are the goals of American policy in the Middle East? Any sensible 
person would imagine that the United States would like to stabilise the 
volatile region, resolve the conflicts which plague it, win friends among 
Arabs and Muslims, secure the uninterrupted flow of oil at reasonable prices 
and keep Islamic extremism at bay.

If these are indeed America's goals, then US Secretary of State Condoleezza 
Rice has embarked on a course which seems to be heading in the opposite 
direction.

This week, she is visiting Cairo, Riyadh and Abu Dhabi in an attempt to drum 
up support for her campaign against a whole raft of enemies Iran, Syria, 
Hezbollah in Lebanon, and the Palestinian Islamic movement Hamas, which won 
a landslide victory at the Palestinian elections on January 25 and is about 
to form a government.

She has publicly declared her hostility to these countries and movements and 
seems determined to bring about their defeat or collapse. By any judgment, 
this does not seem either wise or realisable.

Iran and its nuclear programme remain the main targets of Rice's hostility. 
Before setting out on her trip, she denounced the Iranian government as "the 
central banker of terrorism and a strategic challenge to the US".

The Bush administration has asked Congress for $75 million to launch a 
US-run Farsi television station, aimed at undermining the Iranian regime 
from the inside, and to help various dissidents and other opponents of the 
mullahs. This is reminiscent of the Iraq Liberation Act signed by President 
Bill Clinton in 1998, which prefigured the catastrophic invasion of 2003. To 
the outrage of Damascus, a further $5 million has been earmarked for 
opponents of the Syrian regime. In both Iran and Syria, the US seems to be 
edging towards a policy of "regime change".

In spite of its denials, the US is also evidently conspiring with Israel to 
ensure the financial and diplomatic boycott of Hamas. In an interview with 
Arab journalists, Rice cautioned Middle East governments not to give money 
to a Palestinian government headed by Hamas.

These aggressive views seem certain to exacerbate local conflicts, 
destabilise the region, arouse still more hatred of America among Arabs and 
Muslims and hand a handsome present to Islamic radicals.

Although she may not be aware of it, Rice's mission is doomed. Arab leaders 
tend to err on the side of politeness. They are unlikely to tell her that 
American policies in the region are profoundly wrong-headed and need 
urgently to be revised.

No one seems to know what views, if any, Rice herself holds regarding the 
troubled Middle East. Most of the time, she seems to be parroting the views 
of others. She has hinted at times that Israel should not take unilateral 
action in seizing Palestinian land, but her words have not been followed by 
firm action of any kind. On the contrary, she now seems to have embraced 
Israel's views concerning both Iran and Hamas.

On her tour, she has repeated the mantra that Hamas must renounce violence 
and recognise Israel's right to exist. She made no mention of the truce 
Hamas has observed for nearly a year, nor of the indefinite truce it has 
offered Israel. Nor did she demand that Israel recognise Palestinian 
national rights and stop killing Palestinians. Just this week the IDF gunned 
down five Palestinians, including two 17-year old youths who were throwing 
stones, and wounded another score. If non-violence and recognition are to 
hold, they must be reciprocal.


Outmanoeuvred by Likudniks

Reports from Washington suggest that, at least on Middle East issues, Rice 
has been outmanoeuvred by the "Likudniks" in the Bush administration, 
notably Eliott Abrams, in charge of Middle East policy at the National 
Security Council, and John Hannah and David Wurmser, respectively 
Vice-President Dick Cheney's national security adviser and his principal 
adviser on Middle East affairs.

These well-placed officials evidently believe that it is in Israel's 
interest to ensure that Hamas is starved of funds, isolated internationally 
and defeated before it has even had a chance to form a government. This is a 
short-sighted policy. If Israel refuses to negotiate with Hamas which has 
the legitimacy and grass-roots backing to make a deal stick it may well in 
due course have to face a far more violent enemy in the Al Qaida mould.

Never have American policies in the Middle East borne such a clear Israeli 
imprint a bias which is eroding Rice's reputation and further damaging 
America's already battered reputation with Arabs and Muslims.

When Ehud Olmert, Israel's acting Prime Minister, decided to freeze the 
transfer to the Palestinian National Authority of some $50 million a month 
in tax and customs receipts the Palestinians' own money unlawfully withheld 
Rice remained silent. Scandalously, the State Department said it had no 
comment on the Israeli decision.

The only prominent American voice to challenge Rice's policy has been that 
of former president Jimmy Carter, who last month led a team of observers to 
the elections for the Palestinian Legislative Council. In an article 
published in The Washington Post on Monday and in Gulf News on Tuesday, 
Jimmy Carter urged the United States and Israel not to obstruct a Hamas 
government.

He warned that "any tacit or formal collusion between the two powers [the US 
and Israel] to disrupt the process by punishing the Palestinian people could 
be counterproductive and have devastating consequences".

This is the voice of reason. But there is no sign that an expansionist 
Israel and its friends in the US have taken note. Rice has allowed herself 
to be drawn into a battle which she cannot win against Islamic and 
nationalist forces, both Arab and Iranian. It is, in any event, unclear how 
much influence she really has in shaping US foreign policy in this vital 
region.


Patrick Seale is a commentator and author of several books on Middle East 
affairs.

http://www.gulfnews.com/opinion/columns/world/10020997.html




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