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Indonesia terror threat 'remains real'

April 22, 2006 - 2:49PM

The threat of terrorist attack in Indonesia remains very real, a
United States private sector thinktank says. The Australian government
issued a fresh terror alert on Thursday, saying militants could be
planning an attack against western targets in Indonesian for the same
day. But private sector intelligence group Stratfor said on Friday
that, although Thursday had passed, the terror threat had not. In an
analysis of the alert, released on Saturday, the group said such
warnings specifying a particular date were unusual. "In this case,
then, either Australia believed it had credible intelligence on an
imminent attack or intelligence services simply lost sight of a
suspect they believed was in the late stages of an attack operation,"
it said. "Although the day passed without incident, there is reason to
believe the threat remains." Stratfor said Thursday's alert, issued by
the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade, came two days after Abdul
Rasyid, one of Southeast Asia's most-wanted extremists, was arrested
in a small village on Indonesia's Sumbawa Island, east of Java. It
said Rasyid was believed to be a close associate of Noordin Mohammad
Top, a Malaysian believed to have been a senior operative in Jemaah
Islamiah. Jemaah Islamiah is the group responsible for the 2002 Bali
bombing which killed 202, including 88 Australians, plus other
attacks. Top is regarded by terror experts as the most dangerous man
in Southeast Asia. "Indonesian counterterrorism agents could have
obtained information from Rasyid during interrogation that suggested a
militant attack was imminent," Stratfor said. "This information likely
was passed to the Australians, who issued their warning. "It also is
possible, however, that Rasyid was 'pinging' the system - deliberately
giving false information in order to create a diversion or to study
the official response in preparation for a future attack." Stratfor
said Rasyid's arrest might have interrupted plans for an attack. But
if the cell members remain at large, they could attack at a later
date. "In fact, knowing that Rasyid is in custody could give the
plotters a sense of urgency, forcing them to attempt an attack before
their operation is totally compromised and more arrests follow," it
said. "Because of the specific nature of the Australian warning,
Canberra has good reason to believe in the seriousness of the threat.
With a cell possibly still at large, Western interests in Indonesia
should remain vigilant in the short term." © 2006 AAP Brought to 





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