http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/05/15/AR2006051501443.html?referrer=email&referrer=email

Lack of Surprise Greets Word of U.S.-Libya Ties
Democracy No Longer Seen as Top Priority

By Daniel Williams
Washington Post Foreign Service
Tuesday, May 16, 2006; Page A12 

CAIRO, May 15 -- The normalization of U.S.-Libya relations is a natural 
marriage of an American administration desperate for friends and oil in the 
Middle East and a government that needs to open its economy to the outside 
world, Arab and exiled Libyan observers said Monday.

The announcement was called proof that promotion of democracy is no longer a 
top priority of the Bush administration, which is grappling to hold Iraq 
together and has turned attention toward building alliances against a hostile 
Iran over its nuclear program. Libya has been ruled by Moammar Gaddafi since he 
seized power in 1969.

"The timing can be explained by a need for the United States to have a positive 
breakthrough in the Middle East," said Mohamed Sayed Said, a political analyst 
at the Egyptian government-run Al-Ahram Center for Political and Strategic 
Studies. "With Libya, Washington gets a regime that has converted itself from 
radicalism to accommodation."

"It's self-evident," Said went on, "that there is a retreat from democracy and 
that in the current atmosphere, the United States is aligning itself with 
nondemocratic regimes. Democracy is not going to be the point of departure for 
relations between the United States and governments in the region."

Analysts expressed a lack of surprise over the U.S.-Libya rapprochement, saying 
it had been inevitable since Gaddafi gave up Libya's nuclear weapons program 
three years ago. Restoring full diplomatic relations was merely icing on the 
cake, observers said.

The United States lifted its economic embargo against Libya in 2004, and since 
then, at least six U.S. oil companies have resumed drilling and exploration 
that had been suspended in 1986. Libya possesses the world's eighth-largest oil 
reserves, but the U.S. embargo had driven down production by keeping new 
equipment and technology out of the country.

On Monday, a top Libyan official said that relations would benefit not just 
Libya but also the United States. "It is a result of mutual interests, 
agreements and understandings. In politics there is no such thing as a reward, 
but there are interests," Foreign Minister Abdel-Rahman Shalqam told the 
Associated Press. "This will certainly open a new chapter in the relations of 
the two countries."

Libya is still regularly listed by human rights groups as having one of the 
world's most repressive governments. A recent survey by Freedom House, a 
U.S.-based organization that promotes democracy worldwide, placed Libya in the 
bottom five countries in terms of the free flow of information.

Libyan exiles reacted with ambivalence to the U.S. outreach to their homeland. 
"It might be good for the Libyan people. It might be easier to get rid of 
Gaddafi in a Libya that is more open," said Mohammed Zayan, a democracy 
activist exiled in London. In any case, Libyans did not put much stock in U.S. 
pressure for democracy, he said: "No one was gambling on it."

Suleiman Bouchuiguir, general secretary of the Geneva-based Libyan League for 
Human Rights, said with resignation: "It's not pertinent as regards human 
rights. Opening relations is strictly an issue of U.S. interests. The democracy 
drive is being undermined by the problems in Iraq."

How far Libya might go in aligning itself with the United States could become 
clear on Tuesday, when Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez is scheduled to visit 
Tripoli, the Libyan capital.

Chavez has set himself up as South America's leading anti-American politician 
and has spearheaded a drive on the continent to reduce the influence of foreign 
companies. Gaddafi, in contrast, is trying to attract U.S. and European 
petroleum companies to explore Libya's reserves and increase production.


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