***Awas terhadap 'bantuan' neo-imperialis, sudah masuk, susah disuruh keluar. Pemerintah harus ikut misi PBB memulihan keamanan di Timtim...
Analyst says East Timor violence not a surprise PM - Tuesday, 23 May , 2006 18:14:00 Reporter: Gillian Bradford MARK COLVIN: One Australian military analyst says this latest outbreak of violence in East Timor is far from a surprise. Bob Lowry advised East Timor on the creation of a national security structure. He's been speaking to Gillian Bradford in Canberra. BOB LOWRY: It doesn't come as a surprise because the fundamental problems that were there before the FTDL, or the military revolt, and the Fretilin leadership dispute arose are still manifest. GILLIAN BRADFORD: How serious is this as a concern for Australia? BOB LOWRY: Well we don't know the scale of the unrest yet. But it is a potential problem for Australia because of the fact that if we have continuing uncertainty there, there is a likelihood that Australia will be called to assist. And also the people who are working there with the police and the military and in other capacities might have their security threatened. GILLIAN BRADFORD: Is there a reluctance on the part of the East Timorese Government to call Australia in? BOB LOWRY: I think they are right to be reluctant because they should try, at least in the first instance, to sort out the problems themselves because eventually they are going to have to do that anyway. So they shouldn't look to Australia in the first instance but to resolving the problems through diplomatic channels, or political channels, as much as possible. GILLIAN BRADFORD: These rebel soldiers who were at the heart of this grievance over pay and conditions, can it be just brought back to that issue or is it gone too far now? BOB LOWRY: Well there is the internal military issue of the grievances of the soldiers to be resolved, but on top of that of course we've had the Fretilin leadership dispute and it's been resolved that the current leadership under Prime Minister Mari Alkatiri will remain in place. And the significance of that of course is that it means that, in effect, because Fretilin is a dominant party, that Mari Alkatiri will remain in power forÂ… beyond the next elections, for another five years beyond the next elections, which are due to occur next year. GILLIAN BRADFORD: Now when you hear about this situation, are you convinced it can be brought back under control? BOB LOWRY: Well as yet we don't know the scale of the current unrest that's emerged in the last couple of days, but there is no reason why it can't be, if the Government sits down and sorts through the issues with the various parties. There will still be some elements of the society who are discontent, because of ideological or political grievances they have against the current government and the current individuals who run the government. GILLIAN BRADFORD: How confident are you though that it can be brought under control without outside help? BOB LOWRY: Well, as I say, we don't know the scale of the current problem but it would obviously be better if they could do it without foreign assistance, but it might come to the point where at least they need assistance with negotiations on the military issue. But the problem within Fretilin and between Fretilin and the other political parties will have to be resolved though political means. There is no way that foreigners can actually determine the form of the political arrangements in East Timor. GILLIAN BRADFORD: And does it make a difference as far as you see it whether it's Australia who comes in to offer help if it's asked for, or if it's the UN? BOB LOWRY: Well the reality is that the, Australia will be making the major contribution. Now whether that's under UN flag or not is something that would have to be sorted out. But the United Nation's Mission under the Special Representative of the Secretary-General is still in place and its mandate has been extended by a month while this issue was sorted out. So it could occur under either umbrella. MARK COLVIN: Bob Lowry talking to Gillian Bradford. http://www.abc.net.au/pm/content/2006/s1645689.htm ------------------------ Yahoo! Groups Sponsor --------------------~--> You can search right from your browser? It's easy and it's free. See how. http://us.click.yahoo.com/_7bhrC/NGxNAA/yQLSAA/uTGrlB/TM --------------------------------------------------------------------~-> Post message: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subscribe : [EMAIL PROTECTED] Unsubscribe : [EMAIL PROTECTED] List owner : [EMAIL PROTECTED] Homepage : http://proletar.8m.com/ Yahoo! Groups Links <*> To visit your group on the web, go to: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/proletar/ <*> To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to: [EMAIL PROTECTED] <*> Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to: http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/
