http://www.arabnews.com/?page=7&section=0&article=90827&d=11&m=1&y=2007&pix=opinion.jpg&category=Opinion

Thursday, 11, January, 2007 (22, Dhul Hijjah, 1427)


      The Kiss of Death
      Uri Avnery, [EMAIL PROTECTED]
     
        
      SINCE JUDAS Iscariot embraced Jesus, Jerusalem has not seen such a kiss.

      After being boycotted by Ariel Sharon and Ehud Olmert for years, Mahmoud 
Abbas (Abu Mazen) was invited to the official residence of the prime minister 
of Israel two weeks ago. There, in front of the cameras, Olmert embraced him 
and kissed him warmly on both cheeks. Abbas looked stunned, and froze.

      Somehow the scene was reminiscent of another incident of 
politically-inspired physical contact: The embarrassing occurrence at the Camp 
David meeting, when Prime Minister Ehud Barak pushed Yasser Arafat forcefully 
into the room where Bill Clinton stood waiting.

      In both instances it was a gesture that was intended to look like paying 
respect to the Palestinian leader, but both were actually acts of violence that 
- seemingly - testified to ignorance of the customs of the other people and of 
their delicate situation. Actually, the aim was quite different.

      According to the New Testament, Judas Iscariot kissed Jesus in order to 
point him out to those who had come to arrest him.

      In appearance - an act of love and friendship. In effect - a death 
sentence.

      On the face of it, Olmert was out to do Abbas a favor. He paid him 
respect, introduced him to his wife and honored him with the title "Mr. 
President".

      That should not be underestimated. At Oslo, titanic battles were fought 
over this title. The Palestinians insisted that the head of the future 
Palestinian Authority should be called "President". The Israelis rejected this 
out of hand, because this title could indicate something like a state. In the 
end, it was agreed that the (binding) English version would carry the Arabic 
title "Ra'is", since that language uses the same word for both "president" and 
"chairman". Abbas, who signed the document for the Palestinian side, probably 
did not envisage that he himself would be the first to be addressed by an 
Israeli prime minister as "President".

      But enough trivia. More important is the outcome of this event. After the 
imposed kiss, Abbas needed a big Israeli gesture to justify the meeting in the 
eyes of his people. And indeed, why shouldn't Olmert do something resounding? 
For example, to release on the spot a thousand prisoners, remove all the 
hundreds of checkpoints scattered across the West Bank, open the passage 
between the West Bank and the Gaza Strip?

      Nothing of the sort happened. Olmert did not release a single prisoner - 
no woman, no child, no old man, no sick person. He did indeed announce (for the 
umpteenth time) that the roadblocks would be "eased", but the Palestinians 
report that they have not felt any change. Perhaps, here and there, the endless 
queue at some of the roadblocks has become a little shorter. Also, Olmert gave 
back a fifth of the Palestinian tax money withheld (or embezzled) by the 
Israeli government.

      To the Palestinians, this looked like another shameful failure for their 
president: He went to Canossa and received meaningless promises that were not 
kept.

      Why did Olmert go through all these motions? The naïve explanation is 
political. President Bush wanted some movement in the Israeli-Palestinian 
conflict, which would look like an American achievement. Condoleezza Rice 
transmitted the order to Olmert. Olmert agreed to meet Abbas at long last. 
There was a meeting. A kiss was effected. Promises were made and immediately 
forgotten. Americans, as is well known, have short memories. Even shorter (if 
that is possible) than ours.

      But there is also a more cynical explanation. If one humiliates Abbas, 
one strengthens Hamas. Palestinian support for Abbas depends on one single 
factor: His ability to get from the US and Israel things Hamas cannot. The 
Americans and the Israelis love him, so - the argument goes - they will give 
him what is needed: The mass release of prisoners, an end to the targeted 
killings, the removal of the monstrous roadblocks, the opening of the passage 
between the West Bank and Gaza, the start of serious negotiations for peace. 
But if Abbas cannot deliver any of these - what remains but the methods of 
Hamas?

      The business of the prisoners provides a good example. Nothing troubles 
the Palestinians more than this: Almost every Palestinian clan has people in 
prison. Every family is affected: A father, a brother, a son, sometimes a 
daughter. Every night, the Israeli Army "arrests" another dozen or so. How to 
get them free?

      Hamas has a proven remedy: To capture Israelis (in the Israeli and 
international media, Israelis are "kidnapped" while Palestinians are 
"arrested"). For the return of the Israeli soldier Gilad Shalit, Olmert will 
release many prisoners. Israelis, according to Palestinian experience, 
understand only the language of force.

      Some of Olmert's advisers had a brilliant idea: To give Abbas hundreds of 
prisoners as a gift, just for nothing. That would reinforce the position of the 
Palestinian president and prove to the Palestinians that they can get more from 
us this way than by violence. It would deal a sharp blow to the Hamas 
government, whose overthrow is a prime aim of the governments both of Israel 
and the USA.

      Out of the question, cried another group of Olmert's spin doctors. How 
will the Israeli media react if prisoners are released before Shalit comes home?

      The trouble is that Shalit is held by Hamas and its allies, and not by 
Abbas. If it is forbidden to release prisoners before the return of Shalit, 
then all the cards are in the hands of Hamas. In that case, perhaps it makes 
sense to speak with Hamas? Unthinkable!

      The result: No strengthening of Abbas, no dialogue with Hamas, no nothing.

      That is an old Israeli tradition. When there are two alternatives, we 
choose the third: Not to do anything.

      No Palestinian Option. No nothing. Now the same is happening vis-à-vis 
Syria.

      Again there are two alternatives. The first, to start negotiations with 
Bashar Assad, who is making public overtures. That means being ready to give 
back the Golan Heights and allow the 60,000 Syrian refugees to return home. In 
return, Sunni Syria could well cut itself loose from Iran and Hezbollah and 
join the front of Sunni states. Since Syria is both Sunni and 
secular-nationalist, that may also have a positive effect on the Palestinians.

      Olmert has demanded that Assad cut himself off from Iran and stop helping 
Hezbollah before any negotiations. That is a ridiculous demand, obviously 
intended to serve as an alibi for refusing to start talking. After all, Assad 
uses Hezbollah in order to put pressure on Israel to return the Golan. His 
alliance with Iran also serves the same purpose. How can he give up in advance 
the few cards he holds and still hope to achieve anything in the negotiations?

      The opposite alternative suggested by some senior army commanders: To 
invade Syria and do the same there as the Americans have done in Iraq. That 
would create anarchy throughout the Arab world, a situation that would be good 
for Israel. That would also renovate the image of the Israeli Army that was 
damaged in Lebanon and restore its "deterrence power".

      So what will Olmert do? Give the Golan back? God forbid! Does he need 
trouble with the 16,000 vociferous settlers there? What then, will he start a 
war with Syria? No! Hasn't he had enough military setbacks? So he will go for 
the third alternative: To do nothing.

      Bashar has at least one consolation: He does not run the risk of being 
kissed by Olmert.
     


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