http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,20867,21300723-601,00.html

Stocks shed $30 billion as China rocks investors
  a.. Scott Murdoch 
  b.. February 28, 2007 
THE Australian market has fallen almost 3.5 per cent from near-record highs in 
early trading after Wall Street suffered its biggest fall since the September 
11, 2001 terror attacks.
The fall in the value of Australian equities has wiped more than $30 billion 
off the market's capitalisation.

The selldown this morning was prompted by the plunge on the Chinese market last 
night, driven by a regulatory shake up in lending practices by the major banks. 

The reaction was immediate across the world as European markets were shaved by 
about 2 per cent across the bourses. 

Once Wall Street trading opened, the Dow Jones index was down by 500 points at 
one stage. 

The futures market pointed heavily towards a red-letter day on the Australian 
market but the reaction has surprised some market observers. 

The Australian market plunged by 206 points on the open - the greatest one day 
fall since the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks. 

The S&P/ASX200 has made up some ground during the day though, with some 
analysts judging the weakness to be a buying opportunity. 

Shortly after midday the index was trading off 152 points - showing that almost 
50 points of the initial fall has been regained. 

The All Ordinaries Index was at 5823.8. 

The worldwide ripple is the first caused directly by changes on the Chinese 
equities market. 

Financial forecasters are now analysing whether it could be the start of a 
long-term trend from one of the last remaining major communist states. 

TD Securities chief strategist Stephen Koukoulas said despite the downturn, the 
market was still well-above historical averages. 

Even despite the sell-off today, the market is trading at the same levels it 
was at the end of January. 

"This is 3 per cent - the market is up 100 per cent in the past year three 
years," Mr Koukoulas said.

"It does matter ,but the end game really will be whether this is a slowing down 
in China ... if it is then commodity prices will be affected, we could have 
slower GDP, weaker profit growth."

The government has moved to allay fears among investors, as Australia has the 
largest private share ownership level in the world. 

Prime Minister John Howard said investors should not be spooked by the move, 
while Treasurer Peter Costello said the fundamentals were still firmly in 
place. 

However, he said the move showed how vulnerable Australia could be to external 
financial shocks. 

The $A has moved lower today, primarily on the back of a weaker $US. 

The global market falls were triggered by a massive 8.8 per cent sell-off on 
the Shanghai stockmarket on Tuesday, it's biggest one-day fall in 10 years. 

The fall in the Chinese stock exchange followed a switch in sentiment, with 
investors appearing to finally heed warnings from regulators that stock prices 
were vastly overvalued.

Earlier on Wall Street, the Dow index tumbled 416.02 points (3.29 per cent) to 
close at 12,216.24 after plummeting as many as 540 points moments earlier in a 
highly volatile session marking the worst day on Wall Street since 2001. 

The main blue-chip index plunged some 250 points in a matter of minutes in late 
afternoon deals, a move analysts attributed to computerised program trades. 

The tech-heavy Nasdaq composite sank 96.65 points (3.86 per cent) to 2,407.87 
and the broad-market Standard and Poor's 500 index lost 50.33 points (3.47 per 
cent) to finish at 1,399.04. 

Analysts at Briefing.com called the action "one of the worst days for stocks in 
recent memory."

"The sell-off in China continues to have a profound effect on stocks across the 
board, since the largest unwinding in the Shanghai Composite Index since 1997 
leaves investors questioning the sustainability of stock gains everywhere," the 
analysts said in a note to clients. 

Asia was dragged down by a dive in the Shanghai stock market, Wall Street 
slumped, and the main European indices showed falls of between 2 and 3 per cent 
on average at the close. 

Metal and mining stocks were particularly hard hit because of concerns about 
demand from China, which has been the driving force behind record prices for 
raw materials in recent years. 


Comments from former Federal Reserve chairman Alan Greenspan and rising tension 
about Iran's nuclear program also served to undermine investor confidence. 

Greenspan had warned yesterday that the US economy had been expanding since 
2001 and that there were signs that the current economic cycle was coming to an 
end.

Eugene Peroni at Claymore Securities said there was "a mild panic, maybe a 
climactic event," that triggered the sharp market declines. 

He said the sudden drop in later afternoon trading probably came from 
computerised sell programs that automatically kick in at certain price levels 
and added that "there could have been some hedge funds involved."

"This could have prompted some urgent selling for those on the wrong side of 
the market," he added. "It has the earmarks of program selling.'' 

Peroni said however that the US selloff may have brought the long-awaited 
"correction'' to Wall Street, which observers say is often needed to take some 
of the speculative fervor out of the market. 

"I think this will be beneficial for the long term," he said. 

"But I don't think it will be a one-day wonder. It will continue over the short 
run and there will be some aftertremors. There will be a period through the end 
of March where we may see a saw-tooth pattern to the market."

- with agencies


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