http://business.guardian.co.uk/story/0,,2023982,00.html#article_continue

Third day of market turmoil



Nick Fletcher
Thursday March 1, 2007
Guardian Unlimited 


Frayed nerves on the New York Stock Exchange today. Photograph: Mark Lennihan/AP
 


Leading shares notched up a third day of losses today after further remarks 
from Alan Greenspan spooked the markets and Wall Street opened sharply lower. 
Mr Greenspan, the former chairman of the Federal Reserve, was quoted as telling 
a meeting in Tokyo by satellite link that a US recession was possible, although 
not probable this year. 

Similar comments he made earlier this week helped send share prices lower 
around the world. His latest comments follow attempts yesterday by current Fed 
boss Ben Bernanke to soothe fears about US growth. 

 After an early rise, the FTSE 100 index of leading shares - which fell 148.6 
points on Tuesday after a plunge in the Chinese market and 114.6 points 
yesterday - fell another 55.5 points to 6116.0 by the close. 

It has had £80bn wiped off its value in the past three days. 

At one point the index was down more than 130 points as the Dow Jones 
Industrial Average slumped 200 points almost as soon as it opened. 

But better than expected US manufacturing figures for February helped calm some 
of the frayed nerves as the Dow was down just 20 points by the time London 
shut. 

Traders pointed out that all the gains made by the FTSE 100 so far this year 
have now been wiped out. 

Karen Olney, European equity strategist at Merrill Lynch, said the falls were 
an overreaction but fund managers were worried about being caught out. 

"When people see a sea of red they get nervous," she said. "There is a 
revolving door and only so many people can get out." 

As well as the concerns about economic growth she pointed to uncertainty about 
the investments in the riskier areas of the markets by hedge funds. "A lot of 
hedge funds were short of the yen, which is now going up, and if they get 
caught out they have to unwind other positions immediately," she said. 

If the experience of last May's market shakedown is anything to go by, she 
added, the current uncertainty was more likely to last weeks and months rather 
than days, with investors plumping for defensive stocks such as food companies, 
healthcare businesses and retailers. 

The sell-off in global stock markets began with a 9% fall in China's main stock 
market - the Shanghai Composite Index - on Tuesday, on fears of a new tax. 

Despite being the source of the crash, most analysts believe there is little 
reason to panic about a slump in the Chinese economy.


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