http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/09/10/AR2007091000806_pf.html

 

 

 Petraeus Backs Initial Pullout
General Praises Progress, Warns Against 'Rushing to Failure'

By Peter Baker and Jonathan Weisman
Washington Post Staff Writers
Tuesday, September 11, 2007; A01



Army Gen. David H. Petraeus told Congress yesterday that the deployment of 
30,000 more troops to Iraq has made enough progress that the additional combat 
forces can be pulled out by next summer, but he cautioned against "rushing to 
failure" with a larger and speedier withdrawal.

In what some called the most anticipated congressional testimony by a general 
since the Vietnam War, Petraeus presented an upbeat picture of improving 
security conditions in Iraq and offered a grim forecast of the "devastating 
consequences" of a more rapid pullout. Petraeus said his forces "have dealt 
significant blows" to al-Qaeda in Iraq but warned that Iran is now fighting a 
"proxy war" against Iraqi and U.S. forces there.

The partial troop pullout Petraeus outlined in a joint appearance with 
Ambassador Ryan C. Crocker represents a modest acceleration of what military 
planners were privately forecasting but is the first drawdown the two men have 
publicly supported since becoming the top U.S. military and civilian officials 
in Baghdad. President Bush, in a televised national address later this week, is 
likely to adopt the recommendation for this rollback of his troop "surge," 
while war critics immediately condemned it as too little, too late.

Either way, the general's report and troop proposal opened a new phase in the 
fractious Washington debate over the future of the U.S. venture in Iraq nearly 
4 1/2 years after Bush ordered an invasion to topple Saddam Hussein. From this 
point on, the argument will no longer be about whether to withdraw U.S. troops 
but about how many to pull out and how quickly.

Petraeus's plan would rotate 2,200 Marines out of Anbar province in western 
Iraq this month without replacing them, then begin pulling out 17,500 Army 
troops and 2,000 more Marines starting in mid-December. If logistics personnel 
and other supporting troops are also withdrawn, that would return force levels 
to the "pre-surge" number of 130,000 by mid-July. The general asked Congress to 
defer decisions on further reductions until March to get a better sense of the 
political and security situation.

"Like Ambassador Crocker, I believe Iraq's problems will require a long-term 
effort," Petraeus testified before the House Armed Services and Foreign Affairs 
committees. "There are no easy answers or quick solutions. And although we both 
believe this effort can succeed, it will take time. . . . A premature drawdown 
of our forces would likely have devastating consequences."

Some Democrats challenged Petraeus, although respectfully and with few sparks. 
Rep. Tom Lantos (Calif.), the Foreign Affairs Committee chairman, complained 
that the general depicted the options as a choice between a nominal drawdown 
and a precipitous pullout without considering any middle ground. "Juxtaposing 
your token proposal with a hypothetical, rapid and irresponsible proposal does 
not do justice to this most important issue," Lantos said.

"What I recommended was a very substantial withdrawal," Petraeus countered.

Republicans, by contrast, seized on the plan as a political lifeboat after 
months of being forced to vote against measures repudiating Bush's policy. "Let 
the generals in the field dictate," said Rep. Patrick T. McHenry (N.C.). "We 
would support it," said Rep. Jack Kingston (Ga.), a member of the 
Appropriations subcommittee on defense.

House Democratic leaders met yesterday in the office of Speaker Nancy Pelosi 
(Calif.) to plot their next step. While House Democratic Caucus Chairman Rahm 
Emanuel (Ill.) called Petraeus's drawdown "positive," Democrats said the House 
is likely to vote on three bills that would go further -- mandating a 
withdrawal timetable for all combat forces or specified rest time for units 
between deployments, and giving Bush 60 days to send Congress a more detailed 
pullout plan.

That would give Senate Democrats a menu to try to attract enough GOP support to 
break filibusters with 60 votes. Senate Majority Leader Harry M. Reid (D-Nev.) 
and Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) are negotiating terms of another 
Iraq floor debate that could begin next week. McConnell said the goal is "to 
forge some sort of bipartisan consensus over a long-term strategy for Iraq and 
the Middle East."

Rep. John Tanner (Tenn.), a conservative Democrat, has persuaded a group of 
moderate Republicans to sit down with House Majority Leader Steny H. Hoyer 
(D-Md.) to discuss options. Rep. Chris Van Hollen (Md.), the chairman of the 
Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, vowed to produce legislation that 
"would bring a meaningful change of direction in Iraq and get enough 
Republicans to get through the Senate."

Talk of collaboration reflects a shift from last spring, when Democrats 
appeared more interested in forcing party-line votes meant to put Republicans 
on the defensive. But liberal Democrats continue to push the caucus to be 
firmer on the war.

Michael Lerner, an antiwar rabbi, posted on the Internet the transcript of an 
Aug. 29 conference call with Reps. Lynn Woolsey (D-Calif.) and James P. Moran 
Jr. (D-Va.) in which Woolsey called on activists to target "the moderate 
Democrats who are holding up the whole thing," even endorsing primary 
challenges. "I'd hate to lose the majority, but I'm telling you," she said, "if 
we don't stand up to our responsibility, maybe that's the lesson to be learned."

Amid division, some Democratic leaders appeared glum. Hoyer said it was 
"doubtful" that the day's events had moved either side. "I think everybody's 
pretty much in the place where we've been," he said. Rep. Dan Boren (Okla.), a 
conservative Democrat, agreed: "I don't think it's going to change many minds. 
It's kind of like we're at the same point we were at months ago."

If so, that would be an anticlimactic outcome of what had been building as a 
potential turning point in the debate over the war. What was proffered in the 
spring as a fall status report by Petraeus and Crocker became an anticipated 
moment of truth, with the update even codified into law along with a 
requirement that the president assess whether Iraq had met 18 security, 
political and economic goals.

Petraeus showed up at the hearing room yesterday in his crisp uniform covered 
with medals, after weeks in which he has been the largely silent focus of a 
furious debate over his credibility and role. War opponents have assailed him 
as a shill for the White House, with the liberal group MoveOn.org even taking 
out a full-page advertisement in the New York Times dubbing him "General Betray 
Us" and accusing him of "cooking the books." Some analysts have debated the 
methodology of statistics used to report decreasing violence in Iraq.

A succession of protesters likewise made their antipathy for the general known 
at various points during the six-hour hearing. "How can you thank him for his 
service when we're slaughtering Iraqi civilians?" one woman shouted. An irked 
Rep. Ike Skelton (D-Mo.), the Armed Services Committee chairman, who ran the 
hearing, had disrupters removed and arrested.

One after the other, Republicans leapt to Petraeus's defense and called on 
Democrats to renounce MoveOn.org. The general addressed the dispute over 
whether he was pressured from the start, noting that although he had briefed 
Bush and his commanders about his assessments and recommendations, he wrote the 
testimony himself and did not show it to the Pentagon or the White House 
beforehand. He also defended the "rigor and consistency" of his command's 
statistics.

The numbers he presented pointed to improvements in security. Security 
incidents have declined in eight of the past 12 weeks and in the past two weeks 
reached the lowest levels since June 2006, he said. Civilian deaths, he added, 
are down 45 percent since December and 70 percent in Baghdad, while sectarian 
deaths have fallen by 55 percent. And he said U.S. forces have killed or 
captured nearly 100 leaders of al-Qaeda in Iraq and 2,500 rank-and-file 
fighters.

"The military objectives of the surge are, in large measure, being met," 
Petraeus said.

It fell to Crocker to acknowledge that Iraqi political leaders have not made 
much progress in forging national accord, the original goal of the surge, 
although he insisted that "the seeds of reconciliation are being planted."

Crocker, a longtime diplomat in the Middle East, appealed for understanding, 
tracing the Iraqis' problems in reaching consensus to the brutality of 
Hussein's government and comparing the issues confronting them to those of 
slavery and civil rights that tore apart the United States for so long.

"Iraq is experiencing a revolution," Crocker said, "not just regime change."

Neither official addressed the Iraqis' performance on the 18 benchmarks 
outlined by Congress, even though the Government Accountability Office reported 
last week that only three of the goals had been met. Bush is obligated under 
legislation he signed last spring to assess the benchmarks in a report by 
Saturday. With Petraeus and Crocker returning for testimony before the Senate 
today and then meeting with reporters tomorrow, Bush may deliver his report 
Thursday along with a national speech.

Petraeus and Crocker offered stark warnings about Iran's role in fomenting 
violence in Iraq through Shiite militias. Petraeus said it increasingly appears 
that Iran seeks to create "a Hezbollah-like force to serve its interests and 
fight a proxy war against the Iraqi state and coalition forces in Iraq."

The drawdown Petraeus presented moves up the previous military timetable that 
would have governed the troop increase barring any change in military policy. 
Military planners have said that the extra forces would have to begin 
withdrawing in April and that all would be out by August. Petraeus effectively 
proposed starting sooner but finishing by nearly the same deadline.

Democrats, appearing defensive because of the MoveOn.org attack on Petraeus, 
treated him respectfully throughout the hearing. Perhaps the most emotional 
exchange came near the end, when Rep. Robert Wexler (Fla.) declared that "the 
surge has failed" and compared Petraeus's testimony to Gen. William 
Westmoreland's speech to Congress at the height of the Vietnam War.

"How many more names will be added to the wall before we admit it is time to 
leave?" Wexler asked, imagining a future Iraq war memorial. "How many more 
names, General?"

"No one is more conscious of the loss of life than the commander of the 
forces," Petraeus responded. "That is something I take and feel very deeply. 
And if I did not think that this was a hugely important endeavor, and if I did 
not think that it was an endeavor in which we could succeed, I would not have 
testified as I did to you all here today."


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