http://www.kuwaittimes.net/read_news.php?newsid=MTY2NTg4NDMz


Arab regimes: Who is next?
Published Date: February 09, 2011 

CAIRO: From talks with the opposition to promises not to stay in power forever, 
Arab regimes are taking steps aimed at stopping Tunisian and Egyptian-style 
popular revolts spreading to their doorsteps. Protests about a lack of 
political rights and freedom of expression, corruption and police abuses, 
unemployment and high food prices have sprung up in several countries. Since 
Tunisia's longtime president Zine El Abidine Ben Ali was ousted during a 
popular revolt in mid-January, the question on everyone's lips has been: who is 
next?

The first answer came from Egypt, where two weeks of unprecedented protests 
have rocked the three-decade rule of President Hosni Mubarak. Faced with rising 
pressure from the street, Mubarak, 82, announced that he would not seek another 
term when his mandate ends in September, promised reforms and invited the 
opposition to a national dialogue. Those at the talks included the powerful but 
banned Muslim Brotherhood, the Islamists' first official encounter with the 
regime in half a century.

Since then, other Arab leaders have also announced that they will not stay in 
power forever, as once appeared to be the case. Like Mubarak, who stressed that 
his decision not to stand again was taken a long time ago and had nothing to do 
with the deadly protests, Iraqi Prime Minister Nuri Al-Maliki said his decision 
had been taken beforehand. "I have personally decided not to seek another term 
after this one, a decision I made at the beginning of my first term," Maliki 
said, adding that he wanted to chang the constitution to limit premierships to 
two terms.

One of the characteristics of a lack of democracy could be when a leader rules 
for 30 or 40 years," Maliki said. "It is a difficult issue for people. It may 
be intolerable, and change is necessary." Yemeni President Ali Abdullah Saleh, 
in power since 1978 through Cold War division, a civil war, rebellions and an 
Al-Qaeda insurgency, has also made concessions in the face of protests. Last 
week, he announced he would freeze proposed constitutional changes that would 
have allowed him to stay in office for life, and said he was opposed to 
hereditary rule.

Tens of thousands nevertheless turned out to protest against him the next day, 
although the opposition then issued a statement calling for Saleh to implement 
the promised reforms, but did not call for further protests. Syria, where 
membership of the Muslim Brotherhood remains punishable by death, although this 
is usually commuted to life in prison, has not made any concessions to the 
opposition and continues to suppress dissent.

However, President Bashar Al-Assad said in a rare interview with the Wall 
Street Journal that the Middle East is diseased with stagnation and its leaders 
must "upgrade" themselves. "Real reform is about how to open up society and how 
to start dialogue," said Assad, who took over from his father Hafez al-Assad in 
2000. In Jordan, King Abdullah II sacked his unpopular prime minister Samir 
Rifai and told his successor, Maaruf Bakhit, to prioritize reform. Bakhit 
opened dialogue with groups including the powerful Islamic Action Front ahead 
of forming his government, although the Front rejected an offer to join the 
cabinet.

Sudan's President Omar Al-Bashir, in power for 21 years and under an 
international arrest warrant for alleged war crimes in Darfur, has also made 
overtures to the opposition, who insist on a government of national unity. 
Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi, who has ruled with an iron fist since 1969, in 
January voiced support for Tunisia's revolution shortly after saying Ben Ali 
should be in power for life. "But I am afraid this revolution ... could be 
stolen. There are maneuvers within the country and by foreign interests," 
Kadhafi said, playing a similar foreign interference card to Mubarak's new Vice 
President Omar Suleiman.

Algeria has so far managed to keep a cap on protests against the regime of 
President Abdelaziz Bouteflika, but the opposition is to stage a rally in 
Algiers on Saturday despite it being banned. The opposition is demanding the 
lifting of a 19-year-old state of emergency and a "change of system" despite a 
series of liberalization measures announced by Bouteflika a month after deadly 
food riots in January. Morocco, like Egypt, has maintained hefty subsidies on 
basic foodstuffs and gas in a bid to quell popular anger. Rabat has also 
launched job creation programs for graduates, who have vowed to resume protest 
if they are not soon employed, while the government insists it is "serene."- AFP

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