History's shifting sands
The revolutions sweeping the Arab world indicate a tectonic shift in the global 
balance of people power.
Mark LeVine Last Modified: 26 Feb 2011 12:58 GMT

Protesters in Egypt offered words of support to union workers in the US state 
of Wisconsin [GALLO/GETTY]

For decades, even centuries, the peoples of the Arab world have been told by 
Europeans and, later, Americans that their societies were stagnant and 
backward. According to Lord Cromer, author of the 1908 pseudo-history Modern 
Egypt, their progress was "arrested" by the very fact of their being Muslim, by 
virtue of which their minds were as "strange" to that of a modern Western man 
"as would be the mind of an inhabitant of Saturn".

The only hope of reshaping their minds towards a more earthly disposition was 
to accept Western tutelage, supervision, and even rule "until such time as they 
[we]re able to stand alone," in the words of the League of Nations' Mandate. 
Whether it was Napoleon claiming fraternité with Egyptians in fin-de-18e-siècle 
Cairo or George W. Bush claiming similar amity with Iraqis two centuries later, 
the message, and the means of delivering it, have been consistent.

Ever since Abd al-Rahman al-Jabarti, the great Egyptian chronicler of the 
French invasion of Egypt, brilliantly dissected Napoleon's epistle to 
Egyptians, the peoples of the Middle East have seen through the Western 
protestations of benevolence and altruism to the naked self-interest that has 
always laid at the heart of great power politics. But the hypocrisy behind 
Western policies never stopped millions of people across the region from 
admiring and fighting for the ideals of freedom, progress and democracy they 
promised.

Even with the rise of a swaggeringly belligerent American foreign policy after 
September 11 on the one hand, and of China as a viable economic alternative to 
US global dominance on the other, the US' melting pot democracy and seemingly 
endless potential for renewal and growth offered a model for the future.

Trading places

But something has changed. An epochal shift of historical momentum has occurred 
whose implications have yet to be imagined, never mind assessed. In the space 
of a month, the intellectual, political and ideological centre of gravity in 
the world has shifted from the far West (America) and far East (China, whose 
unchecked growth and continued political oppression are clearly not a model for 
the region) back to the Middle - to Egypt, the mother of all civilization, and 
other young societies across the Middle East and North Africa.

Standing amidst hundreds of thousands of Egyptians in Tahrir Square seizing 
control of their destiny it suddenly seemed that our own leaders have become, 
if not quite pharaohs, then mamluks, more concerned with satisfying their greed 
for wealth and power than with bringing their countries together to achieve a 
measure of progress and modernity in the new century. Nor does China, which has 
offered its model of state-led authoritarian capitalist development coupled 
with social liberalisation as an alternative to the developing world, seem like 
a desirable option to the people risking death for democracy in the streets of 
capitals across the Arab world and Iran.

Instead, Egyptians, Tunisians and other peoples of the region fighting for 
revolutionary political and economic change have, without warning, leapfrogged 
over the US and China and grabbed history's reins. Suddenly, it is the young 
activists of Tahrir who are the example for the world, while the great powers 
seem mired in old thinking and outdated systems. From the perspective of 
"independence" squares across the region, the US looks ideologically stagnant 
and even backwards, filled with irrational people and political and economic 
elites incapable of conceiving of changes that are so obvious to the rest of 
the world.

Foundations sinking into the sands?

Although she likely did not intend it, when Hillary Clinton, the US secretary 
of state, warned Arab leaders in early January that they must "reform" lest 
their systems "sink in the sand" her words were as relevant in Washington as 
they were in Tunis, Tripoli, Cairo or Sanaa. But Americans - the people as much 
as their leaders - are so busy dismantling the social, political and economic 
foundations of their former greatness that they are unable to see how much they 
have become like the stereotype of the traditional Middle Eastern society that 
for so long was used to justify, alternately (and sometimes simultaneously) 
supporting authoritarian leaders or imposing foreign rule.

A well known Egyptian labour organiser, Kamal Abbas, made a video telling 
Americans from Tahrir that "we and all the people of the world stand on your 
side and give you our full support". It is a good thing, because it is clear 
Americans need all the support they can get. "I want you to know," he 
continued, "that no power can challenge the will of the people when they 
believe in their rights. When they raise their voices loud and clear and 
struggle against exploitation."

Aren't such lines supposed to be uttered by American presidents instead of 
Egyptian union activists?

Similarly, in Morocco activists made a video before their own 'day of rage' 
where they explained why they were taking to the streets. Among the reasons, 
"because I want a free and equal morocco for all citizens," "so that all 
Moroccans will be equal," so that education and health care "will be accessible 
to everyone, not only the rich," in order that "labour rights will be respected 
and exploitation put to an end," and to "hold accountable those who ruined this 
country".

Can one even imagine millions of Americans taking to the streets in a day of 
rage to demand such rights?

"Stand firm and don't waiver .... Victory always belongs to the people who 
stand firm and demand their just rights," Kamal Abbas urged Americans. When did 
they forget this basic fact of history?

>From top to bottom

The problem clearly starts from the top and continues to the grass roots. 
Barack Obama campaigned for the presidency on the slogan "Yes we can!" But 
whether caving in to Binyamin Netanyahu, the Israeli prime minister, on 
settlements, or standing by as Republicans wage a jihad on the working people 
of Wisconsin, the president has refused to stand up for principles that were 
once the bedrock of American democracy and foreign policy.

The American people are equally to blame, as increasingly, those without 
healthcare, job security or pensions seem intent on dragging down the lucky few 
unionised workers who still have them rather than engage in the hard work of 
demanding the same rights for themselves.

The top one per cent of Americans, who now earn more than the bottom 50 per 
cent of the country combined, could not have scripted it any better if they had 
tried. They have achieved a feat that Zine El Abidine Ben Ali, Hosni Mubarak 
and their fellow cleptocrats could only envy (the poorest 20 per cent of the 
population in Tunisia and Egypt actually earn a larger share of national income 
than does their counterpart in the US).

The situation is so desperate that a well known singer and activist contacted 
me in Cairo to ask organisers of Tahrir to send words of support for union 
workers in Wisconsin. Yet "Madison is the new Tahrir" remains a dream with 
little hope of becoming reality, even as Cairenes take time out from their own 
revolution proudly to order pizza for their fellow protesters in Wisconsin.

The power of youth and workers

In Egypt, workers continue to strike, risking the ire of the military junta 
that has yet to release political prisoners or get rid of the emergency law. It 
was their efforts, more than perhaps anyone else, that pushed the revolution 
over the top at the moment when people feared the Mubarak regime could ride out 
the protests. For their part, Americans have all but forgotten that the "golden 
years" of the 1950s and 1960s were only golden to so many people because unions 
were strong and ensured that the majority of the country's wealth remained in 
the hands of the middle class or was spent on programmes to improve public 
infrastructure across the board.

The youth of the Arab world, until yesterday considered a "demographic bomb" 
waiting to explode in religious militancy and Islamo-fascism, is suddenly 
revealed to be a demographic gift, providing precisely the vigour and 
imagination that for generations the people of the region have been told they 
lacked. They have wired - or more precisely today, unwired - themselves for 
democracy, creating virtual and real public spheres were people from across the 
political, economic and social spectrum are coming together in common purpose. 
Meanwhile, in the US it seems young people are chained to their iPods, iPhones 
and social media, which has anesthetised and depoliticised them in inverse 
proportion to its liberating effect on their cohorts across the ocean.

Indeed, the majority of young people today are so focused on satisfying their 
immediate economic needs and interests that they are largely incapable of 
thinking or acting collectively or proactively. Like frogs being slowly boiled 
alive, they are adjusting to each new setback - a tuition increase, here, lower 
job prospects there - desperately hoping to get a competitive edge in a system 
that is increasingly stacked against them.

Will Ibn Khaldun be proved right?

It now seems clear that hoping for the Obama administration to support real 
democracy in the Middle East is probably too much to ask, since it cannot even 
support full democracy and economic and social rights for the majority of 
people at home. More and more, the US feels not just increasingly "irrelevant" 
on the world stage, as many commentators have described its waning position in 
the Middle East, but like a giant ship heading for an iceberg while the 
passengers and crew argue about how to arrange the deck chairs.

Luckily, inspiration has arrived, albeit from what to a 'Western' eye seems 
like the unlikeliest of sources. The question is: Can the US have a Tahrir 
moment, or as the great Arab historian Ibn Khaldun would have predicted, has it 
entered the irreversible downward spiral that is the fate of all great 
civilizations once they lose the social purpose and solidarity that helped make 
them great in the first place?

It is still too early to say for sure, but as of today it seems that the reins 
of history have surely passed out of America's hands.

Mark LeVine is a professor of history at UC Irvine and senior visiting 
researcher at the Centre for Middle Eastern Studies at Lund University in 
Sweden. He has authored several books including Overthrowing Geography: Jaffa, 
Tel Aviv and the Struggle for Palestine (University of California Press, 2005) 
and An Impossible Peace: Israel/Palestine Since 1989 (Zed Books, 2009).

The views expressed in this article are the author's own and do not necessarily 
reflect Al Jazeera's editorial policy



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