http://www.dailytimes.com.pk/default.asp?page=2011\03\01\story_1-3-2011_pg3_5

      Tuesday, March 01, 2011   
     
     


      VIEW: Winds of change or revolution -Mohammad Jamil



       At the time of their respective revolutions, Russia and China were at 
different stages of development - the former relatively industrialised and the 
latter an agricultural economy - yet communist parties were able to bring about 
successful revolutions in their societies by formulating strategies based on 
the ground realities

      The formidable people's power in the Middle East and North Africa has 
forced the despots in Tunisia and Egypt to step down, and the ripple effect is 
also being felt in Yemen, Algeria and elsewhere. The royalty of Bahrain, the US 
fifth fleet's base, is also threatened by people's power. Except Libya, the 
citadels that have fallen to people's power or are at great risk of a fall are 
mostly the ones that western powers had meticulously fortified. Zine el-Abidine 
Ben Ali of Tunisia was a long-time favourite of its erstwhile colonial ruler, 
France. In Egypt, Hosni Mubarak was admittedly a US sidekick. When he was 
visibly wobbling precariously, US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton came on 
camera to pronounce that his government was secure and stable. Anyhow, the 
region is not what it was a few months ago, and in the driving seat are now the 
region's youth, mostly educated. Though secularist in their outlook and views 
predominantly, they are religious-minded and practicing Muslims; they are 
moderates who do not wear their faith on their sleeves. Of course, religious 
groups have jumped into the fray to draw political mileage from the popular 
movements. 

      However, to call these movements as revolutions is a misnomer, as the 
term revolution generally refers to a fundamental change in the character of a 
country's system of governance and economy, which may or may not be violent. 
The expulsion of James II from the British throne in 1688 was considered as a 
revolutionary step, as it had a great bearing on the future course of action in 
England. The Reformation marked the end of the Middle Ages and the beginning of 
modern times. Earlier, the Renaissance had paved the way for the Reformation. 
Nevertheless, it was the French Revolution that overthrew monarchy and broke 
the chains of feudalism and absolutism. Since there was no organised party that 
could have led the revolution, the country faced anarchy and civil war. Before 
the French Revolution in 1789, France practiced feudalism; the nobles, feudal 
lords and the ruling elite enjoyed special privileges and were not obliged to 
pay taxes. France's economy was in dire straits, and it was difficult for the 
majority of the people to keep body and soul together. The common people hated 
the privileged classes and were revengeful.

      The hungry Parisians, who had suffered from a bad harvest, attacked the 
Bastille prison for political prisoners. And this was the beginning of the 
French Revolution that spread out to other parts of France, overthrowing the 
monarchy and absolutism. It was indeed a step forward, as Napoleon had learned 
a lot from the revolution. The Napoleonic Code was established under Napoleon I 
in 1804, which did not allow privileges based on birth, ensured social welfare 
of the people, allowed freedom of religion, and stood for giving government 
jobs on merit. In 1917, the world witnessed the October Revolution under the 
leadership of the Communist Party, which replaced the monarchy and the economic 
system in Soviet Russia. Fredrick Engels, co-author of many works with his 
friend Karl Marx, said: "Three great battles mark decisive stages in the 
prolonged struggle against feudalism: the Protestant Reformation in Germany, 
the English Revolution (1640, 1688) and the French Revolution of 1789." There 
were conformities in the French, Russian and Chinese revolutions - class 
antagonism, inefficient government, an inept and corrupt ruling class - and 
last but not the least, financial failure of the government. 

      At the time of their respective revolutions, Russia and China were at 
different stages of development - the former relatively industrialised and the 
latter an agricultural economy - yet communist parties were able to bring about 
successful revolutions in their societies by formulating strategies based on 
the ground realities. However, after 74 years of its existence, Soviet Russia 
disintegrated and 30 years after its revolution, China took the capitalist 
road. In the late 1980s, when the Soviet forces were defeated in Afghanistan, 
and the Soviet Union was on the verge of collapse, Francis Fukuyama in his 
treatise, The End of History, declared: "The dark forces, epitomised by fascism 
and communism, have lost, whereas liberal democracy has won." He believed that 
there will be no resistance to ruthless exploitation, but there have been 
turmoil, unrest, violent uprisings and upheavals emblematic of the failure of 
the capitalist system. In fact, throughout recorded history, there has always 
been resistance against exploitation, and communism or no communism, the 
struggle continued and would continue in future in one form or another. 

      Capitalism has indeed evolved new strategies to counter uprisings and 
revolutions, but those on the 'receiving end' have also been thinking of new 
methods to resist the onslaught of imperialism, neo-colonialism and 
globalisation. Though a revolution in any single country looks like an 
impossibility, yet the possibility of revolution in the global village cannot 
be ruled out, as globalisation has hit the workers of developing and developed 
countries alike. It has caused unemployment in the US and the west, as 
multinational corporations dismantle factories in European countries or Japan 
to shift to the regions where they find cheap labour. And they continue with 
their exploitation. Marx and Engels had most succinctly presented their theory 
of revolution and exhorted the proletariat of all nations to unite in 
revolution, because they had nothing to lose but their chains. They reckoned 
that the progressive degradation of the working class could finally reach the 
point of despair and inevitable revolt. But there is consensus among 
revolutionaries that an ideological party with dedicated leaders and cadres is 
a pre-requisite to bring about a successful revolution, otherwise there would 
be anarchy, bloodshed and destruction. 

      Nobody can fairly accurately predict revolutions. In January 1917, when 
Russia was ready for revolution, Lenin had made a statement: "Whether we, the 
old will live to see the decisive battles of the coming revolution." In Russia, 
there were frequent strikes since 1905, but in February 1917 there was a 
general strike, and seeing the situation favourable for revolution, Lenin came 
back to Moscow in April 1917 to complete the revolution in October 1917. After 
the end of the Cold War, globalisation is the buzzword and the world is said to 
have become a global village. Now the question is whether in the event of 
another world recession or great depression, it would be possible for the US 
and the west to ensure full employment and the present living standards for 
their people or a time will come when the proletariat of the world would unite 
to bring about revolution in the global village or at least wage a struggle to 
replace the New World Order with a just world economic order. 

      The writer is a freelance columnist. He can be reached at 
[email protected]


     


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