Skor 1-1 itu cuma dihitung dari soal koalisi. Kalau dihitung dari urusan kekuasaan, terutama sejak meluapnya Lumpur Bakrie, jelas SBY itu pecundang atau malah kalah WO :)
Soal 'strategic thinker' barangkali betul, tapi cuma sebatas kepentingan pribadinya. Dalam hal ini, strategi menjadi presiden (jilid I) & mempertahankan kursinya di jilid II. Omong kosong dengan strategi seorang negarawan. Sebagai militer, orang nggak pernah lihat pemikiran strategisnya. Orang lebih mengenang dia sebagai penyedia pasukan (dan peluru) dalam kasus Kudatuli. Begitu juga dalam peran politisnya sebagai Menko Polkam, dia menarik pulang delegasi RI yang berunding dengan GAM di Tokyo lalu mengirim 40.000 serdadu ke Aceh. Lagi-lagi orang melihat ini bukan strategi untuk kepentingan orang banyak, tapi sekedar mencari dukungan militer untuk kepentingan pribadinya. Apalagi waktu itu TNI reformis seperti Agus Wirahadikusuma, Ryamizard dll sedang berkibar berkat atmosfir Gus Dur. Strategi ngoalisinya juga payah karena cuma bertujuan menangkal impeachment sekalipun harus dengan nyembelih korban, Sri Mulyani, yang dia puji sebagai pembantu terbaiknya (terbaik tapi dibiarin dipake orang.. busyet, koyok germo ae..). Jadi, kalo sekarang dia ngeluh ada anggota koalisi yang nggak mau menggagalkan angket mafia pajak, nggak sejalan dengan dia punya mau, ya lucu. Sebab, yang pertamakali mengusulkan angket mafia pajak itu adalah partainya SBY sendiri, Partai Demokrat. Jadi, soal kisruh koalisi ini ya Partai Demokrat itulah penjahatnya. PD bukan cuma mengkhianati diri sendiri & koalisi, tapi lebih jauh lagi mengkhianati rakyat yang mau kebusukan pajak dibongkar habis. Membesarnya isu 'koalisi pecah' & 'recall' sekarang ini mah taktik basi (bukan strategi) untuk mengalihkan perhatian dari pengkhianatan Partai Demokrat soal angket mafia pajak. Oposisi harus angkat soal ini supaya orang tau kelicikan SBY mempertahankan kepentingan pribadinya. --- "rezameutia" <rezameutia@...> wrote: > komentar dari kolumnis the jakarta post tentang sby vs ical > walaupun 2014 masih 3 tahun lagi. mungkin bagi mereka ini sekedar > pemanasan dan saling menjajagi kekuatan dan kelemahan lawan > menjelang pertarungan yang sebenarnya di 2014. > > ical sudah pasti akan mencalonkan diri tahun 2014, sedangkan sby > tidak bisa mencalonkan lagi karena konstitusi. masih belum jelas, > siapa yang akan dicalonkan oleh sby, ani yudhoyono, edhie wibowo > (pangkostrad), atau anas urbaningrum? > > isi dari komentar tulisan ini adalah sby 'strategic thinker' > ulung. walaupun sudah 2 kali ditusuk dari belakang oleh koalisi > nya, sby tetap tegar. sby bisa memasang 'muka tipu' dan > memanipulasi orang sehingga lawan politiknya terkecoh, tidak > seperti megawati yang bisa 'terbaca' emosinya oleh lawan politiknya. > > contoh yang paling jelas adalah jk, semua hasil kerjaan jk yang > fenomenal kreditnya ke sby. > > > > ============= > > > > Latest score in the coalition political match: SBY 1 - Ical 1 > Endy M. Bayuni, > Washington, DC > > President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono (SBY) won the latest running > open battle with Aburizal Bakrie (Ical), the business tycoon and > chairman of the Golkar Party, which is a member of Yudhoyono's > coalition government but barely. The score between the two men, > as it stands today, is one apiece. The war is far from over, so > expect a few more battles like this in the lead up to the 2014 > presidential election. > > On Tuesday last week, Yudhoyono outmaneuvered Aburizal to defeat a > motion initiated by Golkar and another member of the coalition > government, the Prosperous Justice Party (PKS), in the House of > Representatives. The motion, which called for an inquiry into > allegations of collusive practices between tax officers and > well-connected people, was defeated, with 264 "yes" votes and 266 > "no" votes. > > In the vote, Golkar and PKS were joined by the Indonesian > Democratic Party of Struggle (PDI-P) and the People's Conscience > Party (Hanura), officially the opposition parties in the House. > Yudhoyono's Democratic Party counted on the support of three other > coalition partners the National Mandate Party (PAN), the National > Awakening Party (PKB) and the United Development Party (PPP) and > one party from the opposition camp, the Great Indonesia Movement > Party (Gerindra). > > To the casual observer, what was so galling about this affair is > that this is a battle that pit members of the coalition government > against each other, with the opposition parties playing a mere > supporting role. On a more personal level, this is really a battle > between Yudhoyono and Aburizal. We will soon know about the fate of > the coalition government following the latest backstabbing by > Golkar. > > The President is now coming under a lot of pressure from within his > own party to expel the coalition partners that had broken ranks. He > came under a similar pressure last year when he lost the first > battle with Aburizal, but rather than expelling or punishing for > the betrayal, Aburizal was awarded the chair of the newly > established joint secretariat of the coalition partners. > > In January 2010, Golkar and PKS, in collaboration with PDI-P and > other smaller opposition parties, forced a House inquiry into the > 2008 bailout process of Bank Century, a small-sized bank whose > depositors included major donors in the 2009 election campaign. The > inquiry led to a House resolution that faulted the government for > approving the expensive bailout. > > Yudhoyono's Democrats lost the vote in the House, and the result > forced former finance minister Sri Mulyani Indrawati, deemed most > responsible for the bailout decision, to resign. > The ensuing legal investigation, however, found nothing > incriminating in the bailout process. Still, the defeat affected > not only the credibility of the President, but he also lost the > most reform-minded minister in the Cabinet. Sri Mulyani has since > joined the World Bank as managing director. > > So what was Yudhoyono thinking? Why did he decide not to punish > Aburizal at that time, and instead even rewarded him with a new > footing in the government? Why does he need to retain Golkar at all? > > Coalition government is a fact of life in Indonesia's multiparty > system, even when the constitution grants the elected President > immense power to form his own government. And no one knows how to > play the coalition game better than Yudhoyono, being the first > directly elected president in Indonesia in 2004. He may not have > fully mastered the art of managing a coalition government, but he > knows how the system works, perhaps better than anyone else in the > country. > > Although Yudhoyono won with 62 percent of the vote in the 2009 > presidential election, his party only controls 26 percent of the > seats in the House. He needed to forge a coalition in order to > ensure majority support for his legislative agenda. After his > re-election in 2009, he brought Golkar back into the government > even though the party had been the major challenger at the polls. > The current government, comprising six parties, technically > controls 76 percent of the House. > > No one should underestimate Yudhoyono when it comes to managing the > coalition. Ask Jusuf Kalla, his vice president in 2004-2009 and > Golkar chairman at that time. It was a partnership that worked > well, but it was one which, in the end, benefited Yudhoyono > politically at the expense of Kalla. When the two slugged it out > at the polls in 2009, Golkar was demoted to a distant second to > make way for Democrats, and Kalla bitterly came a poor third to > Yudhoyono in the presidential election. > > Now Yudhoyono's chief nemesis is the new Golkar chairman Aburizal > Bakrie, and again, in spite of the backstabbing in 2010, the > President decided to retain him and Golkar within the coalition. > Several overtures to PDI-P, the only other party in the House with > significant number of seats to replace Golkar in the coalition, had > been repeatedly rebuffed by its chair Megawati Soekarnoputri. It > would not be surprising if Aburizal and Golkar, and PKS for that > matter, remain in the coalition after the latest betrayal. > > The bigger stake in the running battle between Yudhoyono and > Aburizal is the 2014 race. While it is almost certain that Aburizal > will take a crack at the election, it is still unclear who > Yudhoyono plans to field for the Democratic Party. He cannot run > again because the constitution limits him to a maximum of two > consecutive terms, but as patron of the largest party in the > country, he will still yield influence on the outcome of the 2014 > race. > > Whatever Yudhoyono does with the coalition government obviously > will have something to do with whatever plans he has in store for > 2014 and beyond. And the one plan that he has kept very closely to > his chest is the nomination for the 2014 presidential candidate. > Never underestimate the man who built his career as a military > strategic thinker. He is probably still the best in the country > when it comes to playing the game of coalition politics. He > certainly showed that in 2009. > > > > The writer, a visiting fellow at the East West Center in > Washington, is senior editor of The Jakarta Post. > > > > ======= ------------------------------------ Post message: [email protected] Subscribe : [email protected] Unsubscribe : [email protected] List owner : [email protected] Homepage : http://proletar.8m.com/Yahoo! Groups Links <*> To visit your group on the web, go to: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/proletar/ <*> Your email settings: Individual Email | Traditional <*> To change settings online go to: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/proletar/join (Yahoo! ID required) <*> To change settings via email: [email protected] [email protected] <*> To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to: [email protected] <*> Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to: http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/
