Libya: Who's in charge?

Gavin Hewitt | 11:18 UK time, Tuesday, 22 March 2011

It is rare indeed that the allies in an international military intervention of 
the scale witnessed in Libya are unsure about who should command the operation.

Initially it was run by the United States and their Africa Command out of 
Germany. But the Americans have made it clear they don't want the leadership 
role. President Obama has said they will transfer the command of Operation 
Odyssey Dawn in a couple of days, but to whom?

Either the operation would be under British/French command or Nato. And there 
the problems and disputes begin.

The French - certainly initially - were against Nato involvement because Nato's 
reputation, in their view, was damaged in the Arab world, due to its 
involvement in Afghanistan. France believed it crucial to draw Arab states into 
the military operation and in their view Nato didn't help.

Some allies believe France launched the first attacks without fully informing 
its allies. That has led to tensions.

France and Germany strongly disagree about the operation. Yesterday the German 
Foreign Minister, Guido Westerwelle, said "we calculated the risks and if we 
see that three days after this intervention began, the Arab League has already 
criticised this intervention, I think we had good reasons."

The Italians, who are offering seven of their bases to the operation, want Nato 
to take command. Several other European countries are demanding that the 
operation be run out of Nato.

Norway says its fighter jets will not participate until a clear command 
structure is in place.

French Mirage 2000 jets at Corsica base prepared for Libya mission, 21 Mar 11

But there is another problem. Turkey is a member of Nato. It has its own 
reasons for opposing transferring command and control to Nato. Prime Minister 
Erdogan said "we do not want Libya to become a second Iraq".

Turkey, with its substantial business interests in Libya, sees itself as a 
potential negotiator to end the crisis. There is also clearly tension with 
France. Ankara is wary of France's leadership in the air strikes.Turkish 
objections are stalling the alliance's participation in the campaign.

Paris believes Turkey has its own agenda in the Middle East, while Ankara is 
frustrated that France opposes its bid for full EU membership.

Some diplomats believe that France wanted to avoid early involvement of Nato 
for two reasons. It wanted the freedom of action to "save" Benghazi and it 
wanted to enlist Arab support without the Nato brand, whilst accepting that 
Nato would have to become involved later.

Meanwhile a significant number of countries are criticising the scale of the 
operation. China wants an immediate ceasefire. Russia is critical. African 
countries like Uganda are firmly against. India is very doubtful.

On the ground it has become more difficult for coalition planes to find 
Gaddafi's forces as they are in urban areas. So far the opposition forces have 
not been able to seize the initiative. There are clearly divisions as to 
whether the Libyan leader is a target. The military in the UK and the US 
clearly don't think he is. So the question remains as to what the goals of the 
operation are. Clearly saving civilian lives, but there are limits to how that 
can be achieved from the air.

The French Foreign Minister, Alain Juppe, probably came closest yesterday to 
revealing what the strategy is. He said he hopes that Gaddafi's government will 
break up under pressure.

But the lesson of the first few days of Operation Odyssey Dawn is that time is 
probably short; that the international community will quickly lose patience 
with a long campaign.

It doesn't help that there are so many divisions over running the campaign.



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