3 May 2011 Last updated at 23:26 GMT

Bin Laden compound location suggested by 2008 study
Osama Bin Laden Osama Bin Laden was killed by US operatives in Pakistan on 
Sunday

A 2008 study conducted by US university professors said there was a high 
probability Osama Bin Laden was located in the town where he was ultimately 
killed by US operatives on Sunday.

The model employed in the study, which is typically used to track endangered 
species, said there was a 88.9% chance he was in Abbottabad in Pakistan.

But geographer Thomas Gillespie at UCLA said the same study gave a 95% chance 
he was in another town, Parachinar.

The findings were published in 2009.

Mr Gillespie, whose expertise is in using remote sensing data from satellites 
to study ecosystems, initially conducted the study with undergraduate geography 
students as an exercise in 2008 and submitted its findings to the MIT 
International Review in 2009.

The probabilistic model used in the study pinpointed Parachinar, which is 
roughly 300km (186 miles) from Abbottabad, as having a 95% likelihood of being 
the town where Bin Laden was hiding out.

Mr Gillespie and his students took the findings and then zeroed in on 
Parachinar because it also had access to medical care.

But the study also gave Abbottabad, where Bin Laden was shot and killed on 
Sunday by US forces, an 88.9% of being the al-Qaeda leader's hide-out.

The model, which Mr Gillespie typically uses in his work to track endangered 
species, suggested Bin Laden was probably residing in a city compound, rather 
than in a cave in a rural environment, because people in less densely populated 
regions would be more likely to take the time to notice him, the university 
professor told the BBC.

Using the study, Mr Gillespie and his students then surmised that the compound 
would have security, such as high walls around its perimeter, and an 
electricity supply, both of which were found at the site of Bin Laden's 
residence in Pakistan.




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