http://www.thejakartaglobe.com/home/business-leaders-see-threats-in-new-thai-stability/450852

Indonesian Business Leaders See Threats in New Thai Stability
Ririn Radiawati Kusuma & Muhammad Al Azhari | July 05, 2011



Indonesian business leaders on Monday hailed Thailand's smooth election but 
warned that stability in the country may make it more attractive for investors 
who might otherwise have targeted the archipelago. 

Chairman of the Indonesian business association (Apindo) Sofyan Wanandi said 
the weekend's victory by the Puea Thai party should improve stability in the 
Association of Southeast Asian Nations (Asean) bloc. 

"Most important is the political stability in Thailand, so that it can support 
Asean's economy," Sofyan said. 

Analysts said the victory by Yingluck Shinawatra, the younger sister of former 
Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra, was influenced by the ousted premier. Her 
party campaigned on the slogan "Thaksin thinks, Puea Thai does." 

The party made a range of promises during its campaign, including wage 
increases, infrastructure spending and computers for school children. These 
populist measures will cost billions of dollars, but may act to stimulate 
Southeast Asia's second-largest economy. 

Chairman of the Indonesian Chamber of Commerce and Industry (Kadin), Suryo 
Bambang Sulisto, said new confidence in Thailand's political stability may woo 
foreign investors. "Now, it is certain the investment climate will improve over 
there," Bambang said. 

"The previous prime minister, Thaksin, has a record of taking an 
investor-friendly approach. It is good for the stability of the region, but 
that is a clear signal for Indonesia to start dressing up and preparing to 
compete with Thailand to attract foreign investors." 

Apindo's Sofyan said a Thai economic comeback would pose a great challenge for 
Indonesia in its push to become the darling of foreign investors. "Thailand is 
Indonesia's competitor in the business climate. Currently, our position is 
higher than Thailand, but that is because of political stability," Sofyan said. 

Both Sofyan and Bambang said that Indonesia should improve its infrastructure 
to win the hearts of foreign investors. "If Thailand is in a stable condition, 
investors might invest in Thailand because they have better infrastructure," 
Sofyan said. 

Thailand, against whom Indonesia is competing to become the base for automotive 
production in Southeast Asia, has retained its investors despite political 
instability. 

"Now, with the improving investment climate, I bet we are going to see tougher 
competition from them,'' Bambang said. 

Indonesia's $700 billion economy remains the region's largest. 

Political analysts here said the change in government in Thailand gave a chance 
for Indonesia to again seek a meditation role in the conflict with Cambodia. 

Hariyadi Wirawan, an international relations lecturer at the University of 
Indonesia, said Indonesia should take more seriously the role the military 
still had in Thailand's domestic politics. 

"There should be a new angle that Indonesia needs to take in its role to 
mediate in the border dispute issue. It needs to learn some lessons on why it 
has not worked so far," Hariyadi said. 

Ratna Shofi Inayati, a researcher at the Indonesian Institute of Sciences' 
Center for Political Studies, said a new government in Bangkok would be "more 
open to the possibility of peace talks." 

President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono's spokesman for international affairs, Teuku 
Faizasyah, declined to comment saying he would wait until the new leader had 
been sworn in. 

  

With additional reporting from Ismira Lutfia & Arientha Primanita 


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