Bagi yang mau baca ada juga artikel di The New Yorker, beberapa tahun lalu yang 
berjudul : “The Return of Karl Marx “, 
website : 
http://www.newyorker.com/archive/1997/10/20/1997_10_20_248_TNY_CARDS_000379653


http://www.smh.com.au/world/can-karl-marx-save-capitalism-20110829-1ji2i.html
Can Karl Marx save capitalism? 
George Magnus 
August 29, 2011 - 6:59PM 


The spirit of Karl Marx has risen from the grave amid the financial crisis and 
subsequent economic slump. 

Policy makers struggling to understand the barrage of financial panics, 
protests and other ills afflicting the world would do well to study the works 
of a long-dead economist: Karl Marx.

The sooner they recognise we're facing a once-in-a-lifetime crisis of 
capitalism, the better equipped they will be to manage a way out of it.

The spirit of Marx, who is buried in a cemetery close to where I live in north 
London, has risen from the grave amid the financial crisis and subsequent 
economic slump. The wily philosopher's analysis of capitalism had a lot of 
flaws, but today's global economy bears some uncanny resemblances to the 
conditions he foresaw.

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Consider, for example, Marx's prediction of how the inherent conflict between 
capital and labour would manifest itself.

As he wrote in Das Kapital, companies' pursuit of profits and productivity 
would naturally lead them to need fewer and fewer workers, creating an 
"industrial reserve army" of the poor and unemployed: "Accumulation of wealth 
at one pole is, therefore, at the same time accumulation of misery."

The process he describes is visible throughout the developed world, 
particularly in the US companies' efforts to cut costs and avoid hiring have 
boosted US corporate profits as a share of total economic output to the highest 
level in more than six decades, while the unemployment rate stands at 9.1 per 
cent and real wages are stagnant.

US income inequality, meanwhile, is by some measures close to its highest level 
since the 1920s. Before 2008, the income disparity was obscured by factors such 
as easy credit, which allowed poor households to enjoy a more affluent 
lifestyle. Now the problem is coming home to roost.

Over-production paradox

Marx also pointed out the paradox of over-production and under-consumption: The 
more people are relegated to poverty, the less they will be able to consume all 
the goods and services companies produce. When one company cuts costs to boost 
earnings, it's smart, but when they all do, they undermine the income formation 
and effective demand on which they rely for revenues and profits.

This problem, too, is evident in today's developed world. We have a substantial 
capacity to produce, but in the middle- and lower-income cohorts, we find 
widespread financial insecurity and low consumption rates.

The result is visible in the US, where new housing construction and automobile 
sales remain about 75 per cent and 30 per cent below their 2006 peaks, 
respectively.

As Marx put it in Kapital: "The ultimate reason for all real crises always 
remains the poverty and restricted consumption of the masses."

Addressing the crisis

So how do we address this crisis? To put Marx's spirit back in the box, policy 
makers have to place jobs at the top of the economic agenda, and consider other 
unorthodox measures. The crisis isn't temporary, and it certainly won't be 
cured by the ideological passion for government austerity.

Here are five major planks of a strategy whose time, sadly, has not yet come.

1. We have to sustain aggregate demand and income growth, or else we could fall 
into a debt trap along with serious social consequences. Governments that don't 
face an imminent debt crisis - including the US, Germany and the U.K. - must 
make employment creation the litmus test of policy. In the US, the 
employment-to-population ratio is now as low as in the 1980s. Measures of 
underemployment almost everywhere are at record highs. Cutting employer payroll 
taxes and creating fiscal incentives to encourage companies to hire people and 
invest would do for a start.

2. To lighten the household debt burden, new steps should allow eligible 
households to restructure mortgage debt, or swap some debt forgiveness for 
future payments to lenders out of any home price appreciation.

3. To improve the functionality of the credit system, well-capitalised and 
well-structured banks should be allowed some temporary capital adequacy relief 
to try to get new credit flowing to small companies, especially. Governments 
and central banks could engage in direct spending on or indirect financing of 
national investment or infrastructure programs.

4. To ease the sovereign debt burden in the euro zone, European creditors have 
to extend the lower interest rates and longer payment terms recently proposed 
for Greece. If jointly guaranteed euro bonds are a bridge too far, Germany has 
to champion an urgent recapitalisation of banks to help absorb inevitable 
losses through a vastly enlarged European Financial Stability Facility - a sine 
qua non to solve the bond market crisis at least.

5. To build defences against the risk of falling into deflation and stagnation, 
central banks should look beyond bond- buying programs, and instead target a 
growth rate of nominal economic output. This would allow a temporary period of 
moderately higher inflation that could push inflation-adjusted interest rates 
well below zero and facilitate a lowering of debt burdens.

We can't know how these proposals might work out, or what their unintended 
consequences might be. But the policy status quo isn't acceptable, either. It 
could turn the US into a more unstable version of Japan, and fracture the euro 
zone with unknowable political consequences. By 2013, the crisis of Western 
capitalism could easily spill over to China, but that's another subject.

George Magnus is senior economic adviser at UBS and author of Uprising: Will 
Emerging Markets Shape or Shake the World Economy? The opinions expressed are 
his own.

Bloomberg


Read more: 
http://www.smh.com.au/world/can-karl-marx-save-capitalism-20110829-1ji2i.html#ixzz1WVxzoE9w


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