BBC News Science & Environment
1 September 2011 Last updated at 12:00 GMT
Higgs particle could be found by Christmas
Pallab Ghosh By Pallab Ghosh Science correspondent, BBC News

The hunt for the Higgs particle is well ahead of schedule, say researchers at 
the Large Hadron Collider (LHC).

Earlier this year they said they would either discover the Higgs or confirm it 
does not exist by the end of 2012.

Now, because the machine is working so well, an LHC spokesman, Professor Guido 
Tonelli, has told BBC News that the search could be completed much sooner.

The Higgs Boson is the particle that in the physics "Standard Model" allows 
other particles to have mass.

Discovery or elimination of the particle is one of the LHC's major objectives; 
and it could come as early as Christmas 2011.

"We could discover the Standard Model version of the Higgs Boson or exclude it 
earlier than expected. Could we discover it by Christmas? In principle, yes," 
said Professor Tonelli

The Higgs particle was postulated by physicists in 1964 to explain how other 
sub-atomic particles have mass, and remains the only major particle in the 
Standard Model, the dominant current theory of sub-atomic physics, yet to be 
observed.

The collider is a giant accelerator machine housed in a 27km-long (17 miles) 
circular tunnel under the French-Swiss border.

Two beams of proton particles are fired around this subterranean "ring" and 
smashed together at crossing points.

Big detectors are located at these points to look for new particles in the 
sub-atomic wreckage of the collisions.

The physicists measure the number of collisions they see in units called 
"inverse femtobarns", and were aiming to collect 5 inverse femtobarns' worth of 
data by the end of 2012.

But, said Professor Tonelli who speaks for LHC's CMS experiment, the LHC has 
already collected 2.5 inverse femtobarns - the equivalent of 175,000 billion 
collisions.

So in the space of a few months, the machine has collected half the data it was 
expected to collect in two years.
Fairly quickly

The current run of collisions designed to detect the Higgs will be completed by 
the end of October. Professor Tonelli believes that if this rate of progress 
continues and nothing goes wrong, there is an outside chance of gathering 
sufficient data by then and analysing it fairly quickly.

The possibility of an early Christmas present for the physics community was 
raised at the beginning of the week by PhD student Richard Ruiz in the highly 
respected physics blogsite Quantum Diaries. He wrote:

"What this means is that by the end of this year, not next year, we will 
definitely know whether or not the Higgs Boson as predicted by the Standard 
model exists."

But although the discovery of the Higgs by Christmas is possible, it is by no 
means assured.

Five inverse femtobarns of data may not be enough to make a definitive 
statement on the Higgs, according to Richard Hawkings, who speaks for the LHC's 
Atlas experiment.

"It's a bit optimistic. If the Higgs had been in an easy to find area then yes, 
we may have been able to have discovered it by Christmas," he said.

"But what we have discovered in the past couple of months is that its in a 
region that's much harder to find.

This will require more data and more time."
Triumph

Even so, if nothing goes wrong with the supercollider, researchers will have 
collected the 10 inverse femtobarns of data they need to make a cast iron 
statement about the existence of the Standard Model version of the Higgs by 
next summer.

If they do discover the Higgs, it would be a triumph for the Standard Model, 
making it a complete theory.

If they do not, it would be an even more exciting outcome, according to 
Professor Tonelli.

"This would be the first time that we would have scientific evidence that this 
theory which has been so successful in the last 40 years must be definitely 
abandoned and we should look for another theory."

Follow Pallab on Twitter
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