Analisa Dr Alex Feinberg dibawah ini lebih bisa diterima akal, daripada otak atik mengatasi krisis dengan melakukan tekanan ke mata uang yg diasumsikan terlalu rendah.
RRC sebenarnya memakai pola mirip pameo di era Warkop, "naik gratis turun bayar" ( naik bus kota ), sedang negara yg terkena krisis lebih banyak memakai pameo " elu jual gua beli, elu beli gua jual " Padahal disaat pameo naik gratis turun bayar, ada sedikit yg naik gratis turun pun gratis terutama aku ketika masih sekolah, dimana ditagih kondektur aku bilang numpang, diturunin dihalte berikutnya, dan naik lagi dihalte tempat aku diturunkan, bila kondekturnya baik hati, aku tetap saja sampai ke sekolah gratis, uang nya bisa aku beli kan jie sam soe 2 batang. Agar uang kembali ke negara asal membutuhkan tindakan tidak rasional, semisal mengurangi pajak yg sampai 35 %, turunkan saja dengan cara mengajak pengusaha kelas kakap agar asal uangnya kembali ke negara dimana uang itu berasal. Bila pengusaha bisa menerima semisal pajak menjadi 10 persen, tinggal di kalkulasikan bila uang yg masuk itu bisa menciptakan berapa banyak lapangan kerja, bila angka 10 % tidak banyak berubah turunkan lagi sampai ke level 5 persen, dan bandingkan pula perputaran uang baik bila masuk ke negara asal maupun bila berkeliaran di seantero negara. Lupakan pameo " elu jual gua beli dan elu beli gua jual " karena pameo tsb malah menghasilkan kerugian minimal bila fisik tidak mendukung akan menjadi babak belur, dan bagaimanapun tetap tidak akan menang melawan yg memakai pameo " naik gratis turun bayar ". RRC memakai pola "naik gratis turun bayar" dimana utk investor yg masuk diberikan fasilitas yg aduhai mulai dari administrasi tidak berbelit, pajak murah meriah, tenaga kerja melimpah ruah, infrastruktur sudah tersedia dengan baik, dan ketika produksi sudah berjalan, market pertama tentu saja didalam negeri, ketika mau di export, disinilah permainan dimulai, biarpun terjadi issue dumping, produksi yg market didalam negerinya sudah mulai stabil maka export dipersilahkan jalan, bagi pengusaha tentunya menyenangkan karena sudah diberi fasilitas plus pasar, sedang kelebihannya didukung pula utk di export dengan harga apa adanya, semisal bus kota yg sudah penuh sesak, tetap saja di halte kondektur masih berteriak merdeka merdeka, padahal penumpang sudah seperti ikan sarden bau menyengat, kondektur tak peduli, karena dari sekian penumpang yg penuh sesak tetap saja bisa mendapatkan uang dari penumpang, karena penumpang semodel aku tidak semuanya., dalam hal ini nilai aku jadi gratis. Dengan pola ini Investor masuk membawa uang dan uang oleh pemerintah dibelikan obligasi, perusahaan dan apapun juga di luar negeri, selama investor masuk membawa uang, sedang uang yg dibawa investor tanpa sadar menjadi modal gratis bagi pemerintah. Silahkan perhatikan memakai data manapun apa bisa RRC dalam waktu singkat menjadi pemilik cadangan devisa terbesar di dunia, padahal sebelumnya siapapun tahu RRC adalah negara miskin yg penuh duka bagi masyarakatnya. Sampai sampai Amerika malah hutangnya menjadi menggunung, padahal hutang tersebut berasal dari pengusaha yg melakukan investasi di RRC, alias duit duit elu, gua beli in apa pun juga ditempat elu, dan gua jadi pemilik di tempat elu. Sedang di negara sendiri uang asing tersebut sudah menjadi Yuan yg berputar putar menggelinding tanpa ada yg bisa menahan, selain nahkoda partai komunis cina yg mampu melakukan apapun yg dimau i oleh partai. ( mohon di ingat utk menjadi kader partai komunis cina, jauh berbeda dengan di Indonesia, dimana utk Indonesia menjadi kader partai, umumnya partai yg sibuk mencari kader, bukan kader yg mencari partai, sedang di RRC menjadi kader partai harus melakukan beragam test dan test nya pun bukan asal test, sehingga kader partai yg eksis menjadi bangga karena sulitnya menjadi kader ). Dengan kondisi demikian partai menjadi solid dan bila membuat sebuah keputusan bisa sampai ke pelosok desa. karena kader menjadi bangga bisa melakukan sesuatu utk negara. Bukan berarti semua kader putih bersih, tetap saja ada oknum yg mbalelo, utk masalah ini sanksinya satu keluarga hilang nyawanya, mengenai melanggar ham dan tidak nya siapa yg peduli, wong penggantinya banyak banget, sedang ybs merugikan banyak orang. Dan Amerika hanya mampu haiyaaa wo ceng lie yuan nya dilemahkan. Saat ini sudah 2 partai ( Golkar dan PDI-P yg mendapat kunjungan dari petinggi partai komunis cina ), dan Golkar akan membuat 2 buah hotel agar partai mampu bergerak tanpa perlu mencari donatur ( biarpun tidak akan terlaksana ). So ? sur. +++ by Dr. Alec Feinberg on October 30, 2011 - 8:48am Bio: Founder of Citizens for Equal Trade In free trade, currency must find its way back to the country of origin, if not, it will cost significant impact to a country’s economy [1]. For example, in the U.S. when a Chinese company receives U.S. dollars for their sale of goods, these dollars must eventually find their way back to the U.S. since in China, the yuan is their currency. Thus, the Chinese company may exchange the dollars to a bank in China for yuans, but eventually that bank will reinvest those dollars back in the U.S., perhaps in U.S. treasuries, investing or taking control of U.S. companies, or in commercial real estate, etc. Sometimes this principle is not respected in a country’s monetary policy. In the U.S., there is a serious violation of this free trade reinvestment principle due to one of its tax codes. For multinational corporations, cash earned abroad stays abroad due to a deferred taxation allowance passed by congress that foolishly allows U.S. companies to keep U.S. dollars abroad. If it were brought back, it would be subject to corporate tax that can cost as much as 35 percent. The result, according to The New York Times [2], an estimated $1.375 trillion is being held outside the U.S. by 519 American multinational companies. This tax law violates this principle of free trade as well, since money is not returning to the country of origin, the U.S., in a timely manner. And there is no incentive to return the money to the U.S. The results: increases in the national debt due to tax losses, losses in U.S. investment to create jobs, and other related loss of employment (because money needs circulate to create employment). Just 10% of this money would create over 2 million jobs. For example, using simple economic math for an annual U.S. salary of $60,000 would yield: $1.35 trillion/$60,000 salary x 10%=2.25 Million Jobs This is entirely possible as loss of government taxes equates to government job losses never mind the possibility that this money might be used by companies to invest in U.S. job growth activities. Meanwhile, U.S. citizens get the bill to help pay off the lost government revenue that creates national debt. The creation of the Euro itself is another major violation of this principle and an overlooked problem in Europe for trade deficit countries like Italy, Greece, Spain and Portugal with their debt crises. Many countries trade throughout Europe as well as China and the U.S. When China receives Euros from Greece for example, they must reinvest them somewhere. However, with the Euro system, they do not have to return this money to the country of origin and these Euros can be reinvested anywhere in Europe. The wise choice is to reinvest those Euros in a country that is more solvent like Germany and not return the money back to Greece. Thus it is likely that the insolvent countries do not see much of their trade deficit Euros back. And this is a key overlooked problem to the European financial crisis. Therefore, the Euro ends up being redistributed to the solvent countries leaving the insolvent countries like Greece and Spain with less and less Euros invested in their economies. This is no small matter. For example, Portugal, Greece, Spain, and Italy have had typical trade deficits ranging from 3 percent to 10 percent of each county’s GDP, depending on the year. If this money is rarely reinvested back into these countries, over say a 15 year period, it can add up in substantial Euro losses of the order of magnitude of a country’s GDPs and significantly reduce their working capital, hurt the circulation of money needed to sustain job growth, and increase their debt problems. Meanwhile the Euros may end up say in the German economy, but the crisis drags down the value of this currency and all countries lose. However, right now, Greece is the biggest loser and will likely default soon on their debt. The only solution at this point in the view of the author may be to unify Europe similar to the U.S. or go back to Europe’s prior monetary system. While there are many economists discussing the European debt crisis, we have not heard any mention of this key issue which must, in this author’s opinion, be part of their solution. Here this simple violation of free trade reinvestment principle is costing millions of global jobs worldwide. [Non-text portions of this message have been removed] ------------------------------------ Post message: [email protected] Subscribe : [email protected] Unsubscribe : [email protected] List owner : [email protected] Homepage : http://proletar.8m.com/Yahoo! Groups Links <*> To visit your group on the web, go to: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/proletar/ <*> Your email settings: Individual Email | Traditional <*> To change settings online go to: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/proletar/join (Yahoo! ID required) <*> To change settings via email: [email protected] [email protected] <*> To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to: [email protected] <*> Your use of Yahoo! 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