I'd be inclined to take the opposite approach: use your production 
exporters, guess the initial instance size, and iterate based on how under- 
or over-utilized it is.   It only takes a minute to switch an instance from 
one type to another in EC2.

As a starting point for your guess, you can use this:
https://www.robustperception.io/how-much-ram-does-prometheus-2-x-need-for-cardinality-and-ingestion

Your real metrics are going to be a better test than any synthetic set of 
metrics.  Remember also that you can scrape the same targets from multiple 
prometheus instances, so you can spin up a second prometheus for testing 
without touching the existing one, if you have one.

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