-----Original Message-----
From: John Hermann <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: John Hermann <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Date: Monday, 6 September 1999 6:47 PM
Subject: Review of PANIC RULES! by Robin Hahnel


>Economic Reform Australia
>ERA EMAIL NETWORK
>
>Date: Sat, 04 Sep 1999
>From: Chris Watkins <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
>
>Here is today's ZNet Commentary Delivery from Jeremy Brecher. To pass this
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>------------------------------------------
>
>Review of PANIC RULES! by Robin Hahnel
>By Jeremy Brecher
>
>A funny thing happened on the way to the New Millennium: the Old Millennium
>crashed. According to economist Paul Krugman, "Never in the course of
>economic events -- not even in the early years of the Depression -- has so
>large a part of the world economy experienced so devastating a fall from
>grace."
>
>If you leaf back through the writings of mainstream economists and media
>pundits over the past decade, you will discover that such a global economic
>crisis couldn't happen; that it wasn't happening; that it wasn't as bad as
>people said; that it probably was a good thing in the long run; and that,
>anyway, it's over. If you want to escape this miasma of denial, read Robin
>Hahnel's Panic Rules! Hahnel, himself an economist, challenges the economic
>dogma that unregulated markets, free trade, and globalization necessarily
>improve global economic efficiency, let alone that they must lead to
>benefits for all. Since the market doesn't charge firms for the
>environmental and social damage they do, unregulated markets give them an
>incentive to dump their wastes as cheaply as they can and to drive small
>farmers off the land even if they then have to live in squalor in
>already-bursting cities. Conversely, the market doesn't give individual
>firms an incentive to invest in education or healthcare, even if these are
>far more "efficient" means of creating well-being for society as a whole
>than producing sports utility vehicles.
>
>When corporations and private wealth can move without regulation in the
>global free market, workforces, communities, and countries are forced to
>compete to attract footloose capital. The result has been called a "race to
>the bottom," in which environmental standards, social protections, and
>incomes are drawn down toward those of the poorest and most desperate.
>Hahnel shows that this was occurring -- even in globalization's boom phase.
>
>Something else was happening, too -- the accelerating growth of a global
>financial capital with little or no relation to the production of goods and
>services. New borrowing worldwide increased twenty fold from 1983 to 1998
>while production only tripled. Daily trading in currency markets grew from
>$0.2 trillion in 1986 to $1.5 trillion in 1998. Less than two percent of
>that $1.5 trillion is used to finance international trade or investment in
>plant and capacity; an incredible 98 percent is for purely speculative
>activity.
>
>Officials from the U.S. and the IMF (International Monetary Fund) roamed
>the world, encouraging countries to "liberalize" their economies -- open
>them up to unrestricted flows of goods, services, and capital. Speculative
>capital poured into so-called emerging markets: Investment by mutual funds
>in emerging markets, for example, increased from $1 billion in 1991 to $32
>billion in 1996. Trouble was, the money could pour out even faster than it
>poured in. Hahnel traces how an apparently local crisis in Thailand rapidly
>spread around the globe. In 1998, Thai GDP fell by 8 percent; in Indonesia
>it shrunk by 14%; there were roughly comparable declines in South Korea,
>Hong Kong, Malaysia, and Russia. In Indonesia, 20 million people lost their
>jobs in a year as the unemployment rate rose from less than 5 percent to
>more than 13 percent, and the number living in absolute poverty quadrupled
>to 100 million. Faced with what threatened to become a global financial
>meltdown, the IMF rode in to the "rescue." Oh, woe to those visited by such
>rescuers! In exchange for further loans, it imposed ruinous
>"conditionalities" under which countries had to raise interest rates,
>privatize public investments, open their economies to unlimited foreign
>ownership, cut social welfare, and rewrite their labor laws to eliminate
>workers' rights. The goal was to turn each stricken country into what
>Hahnel calls a "debt-repayment machine." Hahnel quotes, of all people,
>conservative economist Milton Friedman saying that "IMF bailouts are
>hurting the countries they are lending to, and benefiting the foreigners
>who lend to them. . . . This is a different kind of foreign aid. It only
>goes through countries like Thailand to Bankers Trust." One example of the
>suffering caused by IMF "conditionalities": Oxfam International estimates
>that, in the Philippines alone, IMF-imposed cuts in preventative health
>care programs will result in 29,000 deaths from malaria and an increase of
>90,000 in the number of untreated tuberculosis cases. Tribunals
>investigating "crimes against humanity": Take note!
>
>Business page headlines proclaim that stocks have rebounded, currencies
>have recovered, and the crisis is therefore over. True, some stock markets
>and some currencies have rebounded, but 40 percent of the world remains in
>recession and poverty continues to grow. And since the tidal waves of
>speculative capital sloshing around the world remain undiminished, a global
>meltdown remains a catastrophe just waiting to happen.
>
>Meanwhile, global corporations based in the U.S. and Europe are gobbling up
>the economic resources of countries that have spent the past century
>struggling to escape from colonialism. A Washington Post article in late
>1998 describes how "Hordes of foreign investors are flowing back into
>Thailand, boosting room rates at top Bangkok hotels despite the recession.
>Foreign investors have gone on a $6.7 billion shopping spree this year,
>snapping up bargain-basement steel mills, securities companies, supermarket
>chains and other assets." And IMF "conditionalities" require that countries
>eliminate laws that might prevent this neocolonial asset grab. Perhaps this
>is one of the reasons that the world's 200 richest people have doubled
>their wealth in the past four years.
>
>The economic mainstream is divided on what to do to prevent future
>meltdowns. What Hahnel dubs the "A Team" -- AKA free-traders, globalizers,
>or the Washington Consensus -- calls for even more liberalization and even
>less "interference" with the workings of the market. An emerging "B Team,"
>in contrast, is modernizing the ideas economist John Maynard Keynes
>developed in the Great Depression regarding the need for global financial
>regulation and coordinated fiscal and monetary policies worldwide in order
>to ward off economic meltdowns in the future.
>
>The A Team's approach, according to Hahnel, is just what got us into the
>global mess in the first place. Some of the B Team's proposals could help
>stabilize the system, but without additional, more radical measures, they
>will also perpetuate the global economy's drive toward increasing
>inequality and environmental degradation. They only deserve support if they
>are combined with other measures which would actually reduce inequalities
>and environmental destruction -- such as major debt relief for impoverished
>countries and price supports for third world exports.
>
>When Hahnel presents his own alternatives, it is a shock to hear him,
>sounding like the most orthodox of economists, calling for more "global
>efficiency." But he makes clear that "efficiency" should not be equated
>with "profitability" -- because private profit leaves out all those
>"external" costs and benefits that accrue to society as a whole rather than
>to wealth holders. And he makes clear that environmental destruction is the
>most blatant kind of inefficiency. Instead, true efficiency requires that
>non-market institutions compensate for the "inefficient" biases of the
>market in order to "get prices right." He also points out that, in today's
>global economy, equity requires international cooperation to set non-market
>interest rates and terms of trade to distribute more of the benefits of
>globalization to the poorer economies. And Hahnel makes clear that
>"efficiency" should not be pursued at the expense of other values like
>equity, democracy, diversity, solidarity, or environmental sustainability.
>
>How are these goals to be achieved? Hahnel describes what has been called
>the "Lilliput Strategy," in which grassroots organizations, unions, and
>independent institutes and coalitions cooperate across national borders to
>contest the negative aspects of globalization. He points out that this
>approach has already won some important victories -- such as the global
>grassroots campaign that recently blocked negotiation of the MAI
>(Multilateral Agreement on Investment), scotching what has been called a
>Magna Carta for global corporations. While the immediate objective of the
>Lilliput Strategy, Hahnel argues, should be to stop corporate-sponsored
>globalization in its tracks, it can and should also start the process of
>building a system of equitable international cooperation. Only in such a
>system can globalization provide the benefits that today it promises but in
>reality denies.
>
>After describing the economic "A Team" and the "B Team", Hahnel states that
>"a C Team with a very different agenda and policies is needed." Panic
>Rules! provides the "C Team's" play book.
>
>----ooOoo----
>

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