--- In [email protected], Russell Honeybun <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>
> >Win % is an estimate of how often the play wins the 
> >game, based on guess at the end of each simulation 
> >iteration that is a function of difference in score 
> >and how many tiles are left in the bag.
> 
> Could you please provide this equation in terms of
> score_diff and tiles_left so I can calculate the
> reliability of this estimation?

Look at 

quackle/data/strategy/twl06/bogowin

Format is

<spread> <tiles left> <win prob>

--Jason


> 
> 
> --- jasonkatzbrown <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> 
> > --- In [email protected], "shaundonnelly"
> > <shaundonnelly@> wrote:
> > >
> > > Hi,
> > > 
> > > I'm sure this has been asked before but i cant
> > find an answer.
> > > 
> > > What do win percentage and valuation mean in terms
> > of a given play and
> > > how are they calculated.
> > 
> > Hi! Good questions.
> > 
> > Win % is an estimate of how often the play wins the
> > game, based on
> > guess at the end of each simulation iteration that
> > is a function of
> > difference in score and how many tiles are left in
> > the bag.
> > 
> > Valuation is just score + leave before simulation,
> > and (our scores -
> > their scores + our rack value - their rack value)
> > averaged over all of
> > the simulation iterations.
> > 
> > > 
> > > Also why was the term equity replaced with
> > valuation, is there a
> > > difference.
> > 
> > No, I just got tired of hearing the word "equity" =P
> > 
> > Cheers,
> > Jason
> > 
> > 
> > 
> >  
> > Yahoo! Groups Links
> > 
> > 
> > 
> > 
> > 
> 
> 
> 
>        
>
____________________________________________________________________________________
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>


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