On Sat, May 8, 2010 at 3:14 PM, <[email protected]> wrote: > > > Dear Matt, > > With one tile in the bag, there are only eight racks opponent could have, > so each candidate play should have a win percentage of some multiple of > 12.5%. The only exception should be ties (or the extremely rare candidate > play of > passing). > > All the best, > > Jim Kramer</HTML> >
Forgive my kibitzing - I lurk here out of theoretical interest only at this point in time. What Jim and Albert say would certainly be true for an exhaustive-search end-game player. A simulation that only looks 1 or 2 moves deep would not be expected to give such clean results for an endgame with a deeper move tree than that. When David states he "simulated" in the the original question, I assume that simulation does not do exhaustive search in the endgame (even if the "Championship Player" might). Forgive me if that assumption is wrong, I only state it because it might be the source of the disagreement. Steven Gordon > >
