Thanks to folks who replied.  Pretty confident that this indeed caused by the 
cable modem latency/jitter/etc.

As a test - I put a fudge value on my refclock and managed to get my st2 out in 
the data center to have a consistent offset.  This makes me feel dirty though 
so I’m going to spend some time rearchitecting what is talking to what.

Hans: nice write up on the issues with ADSL+NTP.
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