Hi James,

I'd like to help you out, but I'm not sure I understand what the problem is.

Does the problem lie with building a predictive SVM, or getting the
right values (class probabilities) to land in the right place on your
map/plot?

-steve

On Wed, Aug 18, 2010 at 3:09 PM, Watling,James I <watli...@ufl.edu> wrote:
> Dear R Community-
>
> I am a new user of support vector machines for species distribution modeling 
> and am using package e1071 to run svm() and predict.svm().  Briefly, I want 
> to create an svm model for classification of a factor response (species 
> presence or absence) based on climate predictor variables.  I have used a 
> training dataset to train the model, and tested it against a validation data 
> set with good results: AUC is high, and the confusion matrix indicates low 
> commission and omission errors.  The code for the best-fit model is:
>
> svm.model 
> <-svm(as.factor(acutus)~p_feb+p_jan+p_mar+p_sep+t_feb+t_july+t_june+t_mar,cost=10000,
>  gamma=1, probability=T)
>
> Because ultimately I want to create prediction maps of probabilities of 
> species occurrence under future climate change, I want to use the results of 
> the validated model to predict probability of presence using data describing 
> future conditions.  I have created a data frame (predict.data) with new 
> values for the same predictor variables used in the original model; each 
> value corresponds to an observation from a raster grid of the study area.  I 
> enabled the probability option when creating the original model, and acquire 
> the probabilities using the predict function:
> pred.map <-predict(svm.model, predict.data, probability=T).  However, when I 
> use probs<-attr(pred.map, "probabilities") to acquire the probabilities for 
> each grid cell, the spatial signature of the probabilities does make sense.  
> I have extracted the column of probabilities for class = 1 (probability of 
> presence), and the resulting map of the study area is spatially accurate (it 
> has the right shape), but the probability values are incorrect, or at least 
> in the wrong place.  I am attaching a pdf (SVM prediction maps) of the 
> resulting map using probabilities obtained using the code described above 
> (page 1) and a map of what the prediction map should look like given spatial 
> autocorrelation in climate predictors (page 2, map generated using 
> openmodeller).  Note that the openmodeller map was created with the same 
> input data and same svm algorithm (also using code from libsvm) as the model 
> in R, just run using different software.  I don't know why the prediction map 
> of probabilities based on the model is  so different from what I would 
> expect, and would appreciate any thoughts from the group.
>
> All the best
>
> James
>
> *******************************************************************************
> James I Watling, PhD
> Postdoctoral Research Associate
> University of Florida
> Ft. Lauderdale Research & Education Center
> 3205 College Avenue
> Ft Lauderdale, FL 33314 USA
> 954.577.6316 (phone)
> 954.475.4125 (fax)
>
>
> *******************************************************************************
> James I Watling, PhD
> Postdoctoral Research Associate
> University of Florida
> Ft. Lauderdale Research & Education Center
> 3205 College Avenue
> Ft Lauderdale, FL 33314 USA
> 954.577.6316 (phone)
> 954.475.4125 (fax)
>
>
> ______________________________________________
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> PLEASE do read the posting guide http://www.R-project.org/posting-guide.html
> and provide commented, minimal, self-contained, reproducible code.
>
>



-- 
Steve Lianoglou
Graduate Student: Computational Systems Biology
 | Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center
 | Weill Medical College of Cornell University
Contact Info: http://cbio.mskcc.org/~lianos/contact

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