Hi Don, wow, you are so right. I picked that piece up from the bloggers 
tutorial and since I am R naive yet, I thought it was all one step

moving_average = forecast(ma(tdat[1:31], order=2), h=5)

Truly, I usually print and check at every step I can, as painful as it is 
sometimes.
Great lesson for this novice usR.

So the first and last values are NA in each case? Do you know why? Should I 
replace the NA with a value, say the average of the others?

Also, I have 5 series of data I am working with using this script and of course 
each gave me that warning, but only the one series had the same 8 Point 
Forecast values, is that coincidental you think?

Terrific of you to help, I really appreciate it.

WHP


From: MacQueen, Don [mailto:macque...@llnl.gov]
Sent: Friday, June 01, 2018 12:54 PM
To: Bill Poling <bill.pol...@zelis.com>; r-help (r-help@r-project.org) 
<r-help@r-project.org>
Subject: Re: [R] Time-series moving average question

You are right that there are no NAs in the practice data. But there are NAs in 
the moving average data.

To see this, break your work into two separate steps, like this:

tnr.ma<http://tnr.ma> <- ma(dat3[1:28], order=3)
TNR_moving_average <- forecast(tnr.ma<http://tnr.ma>, h=8)

I think you will find that the warning comes from the second step.

Print tnr.ma<http://tnr.ma> and you will see some NAs.

-Don

--
Don MacQueen
Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory
7000 East Ave., L-627
Livermore, CA 94550
925-423-1062
Lab cell 925-724-7509



From: Bill Poling <bill.pol...@zelis.com<mailto:bill.pol...@zelis.com>>
Date: Friday, June 1, 2018 at 8:58 AM
To: "MacQueen, Don" <macque...@llnl.gov<mailto:macque...@llnl.gov>>, array 
R-help <r-help@r-project.org<mailto:r-help@r-project.org>>
Subject: RE: [R] Time-series moving average question

Hello Don, thank you for your response. I appreciate your help.

I am using the forecast package, originally I found it following a forecasting 
example on bloggers.com<http://bloggers.com>

https://www.r-bloggers.com/time-series-analysis-using-r-forecast-package/<https://www.r-bloggers.com/time-series-analysis-using-r-forecast-package/>

And subsequently located the complete pdf 
https://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/forecast/forecast.pdf<https://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/forecast/forecast.pdf>

Since I created this practice data using the structure() function I am unsure 
why there would be NA’s as there are none apparently in the structure?

No worries though, I am going to reach out to the package author.

Cheers.

WHP

From: MacQueen, Don [mailto:macque...@llnl.gov]
Sent: Friday, June 01, 2018 11:24 AM
To: Bill Poling <bill.pol...@zelis.com<mailto:bill.pol...@zelis.com>>; r-help 
(r-help@r-project.org<mailto:r-help@r-project.org>) 
<r-help@r-project.org<mailto:r-help@r-project.org>>
Subject: Re: [R] Time-series moving average question

My guess would be that if you inspect the output from
ma(dat3[1:28], order=3)
you will find some NAs in it. And then forecast() doesn't like NAs.

But I can't check, because I can't find the ma() and forecast() functions. I 
assume they come from some package you installed; it would be helpful to say 
which package.

-Don

--
Don MacQueen
Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory
7000 East Ave., L-627
Livermore, CA 94550
925-423-1062
Lab cell 925-724-7509


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