hi: maybe it's minimizing the negative of the likeihood rather than maximizing the likelihood ? other than that, i don't see that being possible because of what you said. see what
happens if you estimate an arima(1,1,3) ?




On Tue, Feb 10, 2009 at 12:51 PM, Stephen Collins wrote:

All -
I am evaluating an arima(2,1,3) and arima(3,1,3) and notice the log-likelihood of the restricted model is higher than the log-likelihood of the unrestricted. Since these are nested models, I thought the unrestricted model would have a log-likelihood at least as large as that of the restricted model. Am I interpreting the "loglik" output incorrectly?

Regards,

   Stephen Collins, MPP | Analyst
Health & Benefits | Aon Consulting
200 East Randolph, Suite 900, Chicago, IL
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