Hi, I have two DLM model specifications (x[t] and y[t] are univariate):
MODEL1: y[t] = b[t]x[t]+e[t], e[t] ~ N(0,v1^2) b[t] = b[t-1]+eta[t], eta[t] ~ N(0,w1^2) MODEL2: y[t] = a[t]+e[t], e[t] ~ N(0,v2^2) a[t] = a[t-1]+eta[t], eta[t] ~ N(0,w2^2) I run the filter through data recursively to obtain state variables for each model. However, how do I know if b[t]x[t] in MODEL1 is different from MODEL2? In other words, how do I know if x[t] makes a difference in explaining dynamic of y[t]? Another question is that how do I compare MODEL1 and MODEL2? From model specification point of view, how can one say that MODEL1 is better than MODEL2? Any suggestion/reference would be greatly appreciated. Thank you. ac ______________________________________________ R-help@r-project.org mailing list https://stat.ethz.ch/mailman/listinfo/r-help PLEASE do read the posting guide http://www.R-project.org/posting-guide.html and provide commented, minimal, self-contained, reproducible code.
