Another interesting paper is: Gigerenzer, G. 1998. We need statistical thinking, not statistical rituals. Behavioural and Brain Sciences 21: 199-200.
It is interesting that Gigerenzer's recent, highly readable and disturbing book :"Calculated Risks" (US: Simon & Schuster) or "Reckoning with Risk" (UK, Allen Lane) has no reference to p-values in the index. Gigerenzer describes an investigation where just one AIDS counsellor out of 20 showed any recognition that the estimate of the probability of infection, given a positive AIDS test, would depend on the risk group from which the person came. The very small P[positive test | no infection] is an incomplete part of the story. Regrettably I suspect that the result would be much the same for AIDS or genetics counsellors anywhere. John Maindonald email: [EMAIL PROTECTED] phone : +61 2 (6125)3473 fax : +61 2(6125)5549 Centre for Bioinformation Science, Room 1194, John Dedman Mathematical Sciences Building (Building 27) Australian National University, Canberra ACT 0200. ______________________________________________ [EMAIL PROTECTED] mailing list http://www.stat.math.ethz.ch/mailman/listinfo/r-help
