I have a follow up question that fits with this thread.

Can you force an overlaid plot showing predicted values to follow the scaling of the axes of the plot over which it is laid?

Here is an example based on linear regression, just for clarity. I have followed the procedure described below to create predictions and now want to plot the predicted values "on top" of a small section of the x-y scatterplot.

x <- rnorm(100, 10, 10)
e <- rnorm(100, 0, 5)
y <- 5 + 10 *x + e

myReg1 <- lm (y~x)
plot(x,y)
newX <- seq(1,10,1)
myPred <- predict(myReg1,data.frame(x=newX))

Now, if I do this, I get 2 graphs "overlaid" but their axes do not "line up".

par(new=T)
plot(newX,myPred$fit)

The problem is that the second one uses the "whole width" of the graph space, when I'd rather just have it go from the small subset where its x is defined, from 1 to 10. Its stretching the range (1,10) for newX to use the same scale that goes from (-15, 35) where it plots x

I know abline() can do this for lm, but for some other kinds of models, no lines() method is provided, and so I am doing this the old fashioned way.

pj

John Fox wrote:
Dear Uwe,


-----Original Message-----
From: Uwe Ligges [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] Sent: Thursday, September 23, 2004 8:06 AM
To: John Fox
Cc: [EMAIL PROTECTED]; [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: Re: [R] Issue with predict() for glm models


John Fox wrote:


Dear Uwe,

Unless I've somehow messed this up, as I mentioned

yesterday, what you


suggest doesn't seem to work when the predictor is a

matrix. Here's a


simplified example:



X <- matrix(rnorm(200), 100, 2)
y <- (X %*% c(1,2) + rnorm(100)) > 0
dat <- data.frame(y=y, X=X)
mod <- glm(y ~ X, family=binomial, data=dat) new <- data.frame(X = matrix(rnorm(20),2)) predict(mod, new)

Dear John,

the questioner had a 2 column matrix with 40 and one with 50 observations (not a 100 column matrix with 2 observation) and for those matrices it works ...



Indeed, and in my example the matrix predictor X has 2 columns and 100 rows;
I did screw up the matrix for the "new" data to be used for predictions (in
the example I sent today but not yesterday), but even when this is done
right -- where the new data has 10 rows and 2 columns -- there are 100 (not
10) predicted values:


X <- matrix(rnorm(200), 100, 2)  # original predictor matrix with 100 rows
y <- (X %*% c(1,2) + rnorm(100)) > 0
dat <- data.frame(y=y, X=X)
mod <- glm(y ~ X, family=binomial, data=dat)
new <- data.frame(X = matrix(rnorm(20),10, 2)) # corrected -- note 10 rows
predict(mod, new) # note 100 predicted values

1 2 3 4 5
6 5.75238091 0.31874587 -3.00515893 -3.77282121 -1.97511221
0.54712914 7 8 9 10 11
12 1.85091226 4.38465524 -0.41028694 -1.53942869 0.57613555
-1.82761518


 . . .

91 92 93 94 95
96 0.36210780 1.71358713 -9.63612775 -4.54257576 -5.29740468
2.64363405 97 98 99 100 -4.45478627 -2.44973209 2.51587537 -4.09584837


Actually, I now see the source of the problem:

The data frames dat and new don't contain a matrix named "X"; rather the
matrix is split columnwise:


names(dat)

[1] "y" "X.1" "X.2"

names(new)

[1] "X.1" "X.2"

Consequently, both glm and predict pick up the X in the global environment
(since there is none in dat or new), which accounts for why there are 100
predicted values.

Using list() rather than data.frame() produces the originally expected
behaviour:


new <- list(X = matrix(rnorm(20),10, 2))
predict(mod, new)

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

 5.9373064  0.3687360 -8.3793045  0.7645584 -2.6773842  2.4130547  0.7387318

8 9 10 -0.4347916 8.4678728 -0.8976054

Regards,
 John


Best,
Uwe








1 2 3 4 5
6 1.81224443 -5.92955128 1.98718051 -10.05331521 2.65065555
-2.50635812 7 8 9 10 11
12 5.63728698 -0.94845276 -3.61657377 -1.63141320 5.03417372
1.80400271 13 14 15 16 17
18 9.32876273 -5.32723406 5.29373023 -3.90822713 -10.95065186
4.90038016


. . .

97 98 99 100 -6.92509812 0.59357486 -1.17205723 0.04209578


Note that there are 100 rather than 10 predicted values.

But with individuals predictors (rather than a matrix),



x1 <- X[,1]
x2 <- X[,2]
dat.2 <- data.frame(y=y, x1=x1, x2=x2)
mod.2 <- glm(y ~ x1 + x2, family=binomial, data=dat.2)
new.2 <- data.frame(x1=rnorm(10), x2=rnorm(10))

predict(mod.2, new.2)

1 2 3 4 5

6 7

6.5723823 0.6356392 4.0291018 -4.7914650 2.1435485 -3.1738096 -2.8261585

8 9 10 -1.5255329 -4.7087592 4.0619290

works as expected (?).

Regards,
John




-----Original Message-----
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of Uwe Ligges
Sent: Thursday, September 23, 2004 1:33 AM
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Cc: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: Re: [R] Issue with predict() for glm models


[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:



Hello everyone,

I am having a problem using the predict (or the

predict.glm) function in R.


Basically, I run the glm model on a "training" data set and try to obtain predictions for a set of new predictors from a

"test" data set


(i.e., not the predictors that were utilized to obtain the

glm parameter estimates).


Unfortunately, every time that I attempt this, I obtain the predictions for the predictors that were used to fit the

glm model. I


have looked at the R mailing list archives and don't believe I am making the same mistakes that have been made in the past

and also have


tried to closely follow the predict.glm example in the help

file. Here is an example of what I am trying to do:


########################################################
set.seed(545345)

################
# Necessary Variables #
################

p <- 2
train.n <- 20
test.n <- 25
mean.vec.1 <- c(1,1)
mean.vec.2 <- c(0,0)

Sigma.1 <- matrix(c(1,.5,.5,1),p,p)
Sigma.2 <- matrix(c(1,.5,.5,1),p,p)

###############
# Load MASS Library #
###############

library(MASS)

###################################
# Data to Parameters for Logistic Regression Model # ###################################


train.data.1 <- mvrnorm(train.n,mu=mean.vec.1,Sigma=Sigma.1)
train.data.2 <- mvrnorm(train.n,mu=mean.vec.2,Sigma=Sigma.2)
train.class.var <- as.factor(c(rep(1,train.n),rep(2,train.n)))
predictors.train <- rbind(train.data.1,train.data.2)

##############################################
# Test Data Where Predictions for Probabilities Using

Logistic Reg. #


# From Training Data are of Interest

#


##############################################

test.data.1 <- mvrnorm(test.n,mu=mean.vec.1,Sigma=Sigma.1)
test.data.2 <- mvrnorm(test.n,mu=mean.vec.2,Sigma=Sigma.2)
predictors.test <- rbind(test.data.1,test.data.2)

##############################
# Run Logistic Regression on Training Data # ##############################


log.reg <- glm(train.class.var~predictors.train,
family=binomial(link="logit"))

Well, you haven't specified the "data" argument, but given the two variables directly. Exactly those variables will be used in the
predict() step below! If you want the predict() step to work, use something like:


 train <- data.frame(class = train.class.var,
                     predictors = predictors.train)
 log.reg <- glm(class ~ ., data = train,
                family=binomial(link="logit"))





log.reg

#> log.reg

#Call: glm(formula = train.class.var ~ predictors.train, family = #binomial(link = "logit")) #
#Coefficients:
# (Intercept) predictors.train1 predictors.train2 # 0.5105 -0.2945 -1.0811 #
#Degrees of Freedom: 39 Total (i.e. Null); 37 Residual
#Null Deviance: 55.45 #Residual Deviance: 41.67 AIC: 47.67


###########################
# Predicted Probabilities for Test Data #

###########################


New.Data <- data.frame(predictors.train1=predictors.test[,1],
predictors.train2=predictors.test[,2])

logreg.pred.prob.test <-

predict.glm(log.reg,New.Data,type="response")


logreg.pred.prob.test

Instead, use:

 test <- data.frame(predictors = predictors.test)
 predict(log.reg, newdata = test, type="response")


note also: please call the generic predict() rather than its glm method.



Uwe Ligges




#logreg.pred.prob.test
# [1] 0.51106406 0.15597423 0.04948404 0.03863875 0.35587589
0.71331091 # [7] 0.17320087 0.14176632 0.30966718 0.61878952
0.12525988 0.21271139 #[13] 0.70068113 0.18340723 0.10295501
0.44591568 0.72285161 0.31499339 #[19] 0.65789420 0.42750139
0.14435889 0.93008117 0.70798465 0.80109005 #[25] 0.89161472
0.47480625 0.56520952 0.63981834 0.57595189 0.60075882 #[31]
0.96493393 0.77015507 0.87643986 0.62973986 0.63043351 0.45398955 #[37] 0.80855782 0.90835588 0.54809117 0.11568637 ########################################################


Of course, notice that the vector for the predicted

probabilities has


only 40 elements, while the "New.Data" has 50 elements

(since n.test


has 25 per group for 2 groups) and thus should have 50 predicted probabilities. As it turns out, the output is for the

training data


predictors and not for the "New.Data" as I would like it to be. I should also note that I have made sure that the names for the predictors in the "New.Data" are the same as the names for the predictors within the glm object (i.e., within "log.reg")

as this is what is done in the example for predict.glm() within the help files.



Could some one help me understand either what I am doing

incorrectly


or what problems there might be within the predict() function? I should mention that I tried the same program using

predict.glm() and


obtained the same problematic results.

Thanks and take care,

Joe


Joe Rausch, M.A. Psychology Liaison
Lab for Social Research
917 Flanner Hall
University of Notre Dame
Notre Dame, IN 46556
(574) 631-3910


"If we knew what it was we were doing, it would not be called research, would it?"
- Albert Einstein


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